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icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

icon for Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

$457,666 Объем

30 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$457,666 Объем

Polymarket

31 декабря

$66 Объем

12%

September 30

$115,747 Объем

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces have maintained control of the Ali Taher ridge overlooking Nabatieh since early September while conducting repeated airstrikes, artillery fire, and demolitions in surrounding villages and districts, yet no confirmed ground entry into the city has occurred. A June framework agreement established a security zone with phased Israeli withdrawal tied to Lebanese army deployment and Hezbollah restrictions, but both sides report hundreds of violations, including recent drone and shelling incidents near Nabatieh al-Fawqa and Kfar Roummane. The Lebanese army has reinforced patrols and positions in Nabatieh to reassure residents and deter escalation, while Hezbollah retains infrastructure and launch capabilities in the broader area. Upcoming factors include further Lebanese deployments, potential diplomatic pressure for compliance with the agreement, and any Hezbollah responses that could prompt deeper Israeli operations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$457,666
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.Israeli forces have maintained control of the Ali Taher ridge overlooking Nabatieh since early September while conducting repeated airstrikes, artillery fire, and demolitions in surrounding villages and districts, yet no confirmed ground entry into the city has occurred. A June framework agreement established a security zone with phased Israeli withdrawal tied to Lebanese army deployment and Hezbollah restrictions, but both sides report hundreds of violations, including recent drone and shelling incidents near Nabatieh al-Fawqa and Kfar Roummane. The Lebanese army has reinforced patrols and positions in Nabatieh to reassure residents and deter escalation, while Hezbollah retains infrastructure and launch capabilities in the broader area. Upcoming factors include further Lebanese deployments, potential diplomatic pressure for compliance with the agreement, and any Hezbollah responses that could prompt deeper Israeli operations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count.

Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
Объем
$457,666
Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 26, 2026, 10:50 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 декабря» с 12%, за ним следует «September 30» с 6%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 12¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 12%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $457.7K с момента запуска рынка May 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?» — «31 декабря» с 12%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 12%. Следующий ближайший исход — «September 30» с 6%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.