Japan's core CPI, excluding fresh food, has hovered between 1.4% and 1.6% year-over-year through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid government energy subsidies that have tempered electricity and fuel costs. Recent Tokyo readings accelerated modestly to 1.9% in July, while core-core inflation (stripping fresh food and energy) has held near 2.0-2.5%, reflecting sticky domestic price pressures and pass-through from a weaker yen. BoJ projections place fiscal 2026 core inflation at 1.9%, with analysts citing potential upside from commodity costs tied to Middle East developments and producer price trends. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-1.9% and the 2.0-2.4% range capture this balance between subsidy effects and underlying momentum ahead of further data releases and policy meetings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено≤1,9% 49.0%
2.0-2.4% 48%
2,5–2,9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,270 Объем
$37,270 Объем
22 янв. 2027 г.
≤1,9%
49%
2.0-2.4%
48%
2,5–2,9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3,5–3,9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1,9% 49.0%
2.0-2.4% 48%
2,5–2,9% 1.4%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$37,270 Объем
$37,270 Объем
22 янв. 2027 г.
≤1,9%
$18,007 Объем
49%
2.0-2.4%
$10,611 Объем
48%
2,5–2,9%
$5,149 Объем
1%
3.0-3.4%
$1,322 Объем
1%
3,5–3,9%
$840 Объем
<1%
4.0%+
$1,339 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan's core CPI, excluding fresh food, has hovered between 1.4% and 1.6% year-over-year through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid government energy subsidies that have tempered electricity and fuel costs. Recent Tokyo readings accelerated modestly to 1.9% in July, while core-core inflation (stripping fresh food and energy) has held near 2.0-2.5%, reflecting sticky domestic price pressures and pass-through from a weaker yen. BoJ projections place fiscal 2026 core inflation at 1.9%, with analysts citing potential upside from commodity costs tied to Middle East developments and producer price trends. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-1.9% and the 2.0-2.4% range capture this balance between subsidy effects and underlying momentum ahead of further data releases and policy meetings.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Объем
$37,270Дата окончания
22 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan's core CPI, excluding fresh food, has hovered between 1.4% and 1.6% year-over-year through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid government energy subsidies that have tempered electricity and fuel costs. Recent Tokyo readings accelerated modestly to 1.9% in July, while core-core inflation (stripping fresh food and energy) has held near 2.0-2.5%, reflecting sticky domestic price pressures and pass-through from a weaker yen. BoJ projections place fiscal 2026 core inflation at 1.9%, with analysts citing potential upside from commodity costs tied to Middle East developments and producer price trends. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-1.9% and the 2.0-2.4% range capture this balance between subsidy effects and underlying momentum ahead of further data releases and policy meetings.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Объем
$37,270Дата окончания
22 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan's core CPI, excluding fresh food, has hovered between 1.4% and 1.6% year-over-year through mid-2026, remaining below the Bank of Japan's 2% target amid government energy subsidies that have tempered electricity and fuel costs. Recent Tokyo readings accelerated modestly to 1.9% in July, while core-core inflation (stripping fresh food and energy) has held near 2.0-2.5%, reflecting sticky domestic price pressures and pass-through from a weaker yen. BoJ projections place fiscal 2026 core inflation at 1.9%, with analysts citing potential upside from commodity costs tied to Middle East developments and producer price trends. The near-even market-implied odds between sub-1.9% and the 2.0-2.4% range capture this balance between subsidy effects and underlying momentum ahead of further data releases and policy meetings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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