Jerome Powell faces no active criminal investigations, indictments, or regulatory actions as Fed Chair, supporting the 98.3% market-implied odds against incarceration before 2027. His role centers on monetary policy decisions, with recent FOMC communications focused on inflation data and labor market conditions rather than personal legal matters. High-profile officials like Powell benefit from extensive due process and public scrutiny, making swift legal outcomes improbable absent major undisclosed developments. Tail risks remain low but could include extreme partisan scenarios post his May 2026 term end, though historical precedent shows such cases rarely resolve into jail time within tight windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
2% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
2% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jerome Powell faces no active criminal investigations, indictments, or regulatory actions as Fed Chair, supporting the 98.3% market-implied odds against incarceration before 2027. His role centers on monetary policy decisions, with recent FOMC communications focused on inflation data and labor market conditions rather than personal legal matters. High-profile officials like Powell benefit from extensive due process and public scrutiny, making swift legal outcomes improbable absent major undisclosed developments. Tail risks remain low but could include extreme partisan scenarios post his May 2026 term end, though historical precedent shows such cases rarely resolve into jail time within tight windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Объем
$5,593Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jerome Powell faces no active criminal investigations, indictments, or regulatory actions as Fed Chair, supporting the 98.3% market-implied odds against incarceration before 2027. His role centers on monetary policy decisions, with recent FOMC communications focused on inflation data and labor market conditions rather than personal legal matters. High-profile officials like Powell benefit from extensive due process and public scrutiny, making swift legal outcomes improbable absent major undisclosed developments. Tail risks remain low but could include extreme partisan scenarios post his May 2026 term end, though historical precedent shows such cases rarely resolve into jail time within tight windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$5,593Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 12, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell faces no active criminal investigations, indictments, or regulatory actions as Fed Chair, supporting the 98.3% market-implied odds against incarceration before 2027. His role centers on monetary policy decisions, with recent FOMC communications focused on inflation data and labor market conditions rather than personal legal matters. High-profile officials like Powell benefit from extensive due process and public scrutiny, making swift legal outcomes improbable absent major undisclosed developments. Tail risks remain low but could include extreme partisan scenarios post his May 2026 term end, though historical precedent shows such cases rarely resolve into jail time within tight windows.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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