Powell's decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended continues to anchor market-implied odds on an early exit by late 2026. His 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and he has cited the need to protect monetary policy independence amid prior administration legal actions and rate pressures as the key reason for staying. With Kevin Warsh now leading the FOMC—which raised the federal funds rate to 3.75-4% in September 2026 amid persistent inflation—the absence of new political or personal catalysts has kept probabilities of a near-term departure low. Traders monitor any shifts in Powell's public stance or administration dynamics ahead of the 2028 expiration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?
Джером Пауэлл покинет Совет ФРС...?
$447,259 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
31 декабря
20%
$447,259 Объем
31 декабря
$160,668 Объем
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended continues to anchor market-implied odds on an early exit by late 2026. His 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and he has cited the need to protect monetary policy independence amid prior administration legal actions and rate pressures as the key reason for staying. With Kevin Warsh now leading the FOMC—which raised the federal funds rate to 3.75-4% in September 2026 amid persistent inflation—the absence of new political or personal catalysts has kept probabilities of a near-term departure low. Traders monitor any shifts in Powell's public stance or administration dynamics ahead of the 2028 expiration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Открытие рынка: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Объем
$447,259Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended continues to anchor market-implied odds on an early exit by late 2026. His 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and he has cited the need to protect monetary policy independence amid prior administration legal actions and rate pressures as the key reason for staying. With Kevin Warsh now leading the FOMC—which raised the federal funds rate to 3.75-4% in September 2026 amid persistent inflation—the absence of new political or personal catalysts has kept probabilities of a near-term departure low. Traders monitor any shifts in Powell's public stance or administration dynamics ahead of the 2028 expiration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Объем
$447,259Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Powell's decision to remain on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors after his May 15, 2026, chair term ended continues to anchor market-implied odds on an early exit by late 2026. His 14-year governor term runs through January 2028, and he has cited the need to protect monetary policy independence amid prior administration legal actions and rate pressures as the key reason for staying. With Kevin Warsh now leading the FOMC—which raised the federal funds rate to 3.75-4% in September 2026 amid persistent inflation—the absence of new political or personal catalysts has kept probabilities of a near-term departure low. Traders monitor any shifts in Powell's public stance or administration dynamics ahead of the 2028 expiration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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