Ye’s official announcement of two St. Petersburg shows on October 10–11 at Gazprom Arena, part of his 2026 tour supporting the album Bully, has anchored trader sentiment around the 62.5% implied probability for a performance by October 31. Tickets sold out rapidly after the mid-August reveal, positioning the dates as the first major Western stadium concerts in Russia since the Ukraine invasion. Persistent risks temper consensus, including prior European leg cancellations tied to antisemitic controversies and emerging local campaigns urging cancellation. Traders weigh the confirmed booking and venue promotion against these historical patterns and potential last-minute disruptions, with the October timeline now serving as the key catalyst for position adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКанье Уэст выступит в России до 31 октября?
Канье Уэст выступит в России до 31 октября?
Да
63% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Да
63% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 окт. 2026 г.
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ye’s official announcement of two St. Petersburg shows on October 10–11 at Gazprom Arena, part of his 2026 tour supporting the album Bully, has anchored trader sentiment around the 62.5% implied probability for a performance by October 31. Tickets sold out rapidly after the mid-August reveal, positioning the dates as the first major Western stadium concerts in Russia since the Ukraine invasion. Persistent risks temper consensus, including prior European leg cancellations tied to antisemitic controversies and emerging local campaigns urging cancellation. Traders weigh the confirmed booking and venue promotion against these historical patterns and potential last-minute disruptions, with the October timeline now serving as the key catalyst for position adjustments.
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 7:53 AM ET
Объем
$56Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 7:53 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ye’s official announcement of two St. Petersburg shows on October 10–11 at Gazprom Arena, part of his 2026 tour supporting the album Bully, has anchored trader sentiment around the 62.5% implied probability for a performance by October 31. Tickets sold out rapidly after the mid-August reveal, positioning the dates as the first major Western stadium concerts in Russia since the Ukraine invasion. Persistent risks temper consensus, including prior European leg cancellations tied to antisemitic controversies and emerging local campaigns urging cancellation. Traders weigh the confirmed booking and venue promotion against these historical patterns and potential last-minute disruptions, with the October timeline now serving as the key catalyst for position adjustments.
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$56Дата окончания
31 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 19, 2026, 7:53 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ye’s official announcement of two St. Petersburg shows on October 10–11 at Gazprom Arena, part of his 2026 tour supporting the album Bully, has anchored trader sentiment around the 62.5% implied probability for a performance by October 31. Tickets sold out rapidly after the mid-August reveal, positioning the dates as the first major Western stadium concerts in Russia since the Ukraine invasion. Persistent risks temper consensus, including prior European leg cancellations tied to antisemitic controversies and emerging local campaigns urging cancellation. Traders weigh the confirmed booking and venue promotion against these historical patterns and potential last-minute disruptions, with the October timeline now serving as the key catalyst for position adjustments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы