Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a structurally Republican seat in central Kentucky, encompassing Lexington and surrounding counties, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly seven points and Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in recent cycles. The open-seat dynamic stems from incumbent Andy Barr's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination following Mitch McConnell's retirement, drawing a crowded Republican primary field that includes Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson ahead of the May 19 vote. Democratic contenders such as Zach Dembo have raised notable funds and secured national attention as a potential target, yet the district's consistent electoral history and midterm timing limit their path to victory. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this established Republican advantage while reflecting residual uncertainty until nominees are finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей KY-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей KY-06
$22,663 Объем
$22,663 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
72%
Демократическая партия
24%
$22,663 Объем
$22,663 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,002 Объем
72%
Демократическая партия
$13,661 Объем
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a structurally Republican seat in central Kentucky, encompassing Lexington and surrounding counties, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly seven points and Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in recent cycles. The open-seat dynamic stems from incumbent Andy Barr's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination following Mitch McConnell's retirement, drawing a crowded Republican primary field that includes Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson ahead of the May 19 vote. Democratic contenders such as Zach Dembo have raised notable funds and secured national attention as a potential target, yet the district's consistent electoral history and midterm timing limit their path to victory. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this established Republican advantage while reflecting residual uncertainty until nominees are finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$22,663Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a structurally Republican seat in central Kentucky, encompassing Lexington and surrounding counties, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly seven points and Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in recent cycles. The open-seat dynamic stems from incumbent Andy Barr's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination following Mitch McConnell's retirement, drawing a crowded Republican primary field that includes Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson ahead of the May 19 vote. Democratic contenders such as Zach Dembo have raised notable funds and secured national attention as a potential target, yet the district's consistent electoral history and midterm timing limit their path to victory. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this established Republican advantage while reflecting residual uncertainty until nominees are finalized.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,663Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district remains a structurally Republican seat in central Kentucky, encompassing Lexington and surrounding counties, where the partisan voting index favors the GOP by roughly seven points and Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in recent cycles. The open-seat dynamic stems from incumbent Andy Barr's decision to pursue the U.S. Senate nomination following Mitch McConnell's retirement, drawing a crowded Republican primary field that includes Ralph Alvarado and Ryan Dotson ahead of the May 19 vote. Democratic contenders such as Zach Dembo have raised notable funds and secured national attention as a potential target, yet the district's consistent electoral history and midterm timing limit their path to victory. Trader consensus pricing aligns with this established Republican advantage while reflecting residual uncertainty until nominees are finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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