**SV and LPV remain the primary contenders for second place in Latvia’s October 3 Saeima election, with trader prices reflecting a tight race shaped by late-deciding voters and a fragmented field.** Recent SKDS and Latvijas Fakti polls place United List (AS) first at roughly 14–24% among decided voters, while SV hovers near 9–14% and LPV near 9–13%, with several other parties clustered around or below the 5% threshold. High shares of undecided (around 19%) and non-voting respondents continue to compress distinctions among mid-tier parties. Security concerns tied to Russia and Ukraine support, alongside cost-of-living pressures, have sustained populist appeal for both SV (targeting Russian-speaking voters) and LPV, keeping their relative positioning fluid until final tallies clarify seat allocations under proportional representation.