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icon for Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона

Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона

icon for Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона

Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона

Мэттью Гарвуд 59%

Кайл Барретт 28%

Тим Уокер 9%

Пол Маллэтт 2.2%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Мэттью Гарвуд 59%

Кайл Барретт 28%

Тим Уокер 9%

Пол Маллэтт 2.2%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Мэттью Гарвуд

Мэттью Гарвуд

$765 Объем

59%

icon for Кайл Барретт

Кайл Барретт

$466 Объем

28%

icon for Тим Уокер

Тим Уокер

$94 Объем

9%

icon for Пол Маллэтт

Пол Маллэтт

$539 Объем

2%

icon for Роуз Даймонд

Роуз Даймонд

$882 Объем

1%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Matthew Garwood holds a leading position in the Launceston mayoral market due to his established profile since the 2023 by-election and ongoing council role. Challenger Kyle Barrett, who announced his independent bid in June 2026, has narrowed the gap by focusing on rates relief, project cost overruns such as the Princess Theatre and Albert Hall, and calls for stronger ethics and transparency measures. Other declared or potential candidates including Tim Walker remain at lower levels amid limited public polling or endorsements. With nominations opening in early September ahead of the October postal ballot, the race stays competitive as local voters weigh incumbency against demands for fiscal restraint and governance reforms.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$2,747
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Matthew Garwood holds a leading position in the Launceston mayoral market due to his established profile since the 2023 by-election and ongoing council role. Challenger Kyle Barrett, who announced his independent bid in June 2026, has narrowed the gap by focusing on rates relief, project cost overruns such as the Princess Theatre and Albert Hall, and calls for stronger ethics and transparency measures. Other declared or potential candidates including Tim Walker remain at lower levels amid limited public polling or endorsements. With nominations opening in early September ahead of the October postal ballot, the race stays competitive as local voters weigh incumbency against demands for fiscal restraint and governance reforms.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Объем
$2,747
Дата окончания
28 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Мэттью Гарвуд» с 59%, за ним следует «Кайл Барретт» с 28%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 59¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона» — «Мэттью Гарвуд» с 59%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 59%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Кайл Барретт» с 28%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов мэра Лонсестона» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.