Skip to main content

Чтобы торговать в США, перейдите на polymarket.us

icon for Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Финансы·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?
Финансы·IPO

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Morgan Stanley 79%

Goldman Sachs 14.7%

JPMorgan <1%

Bank of America <1%

Polymarket

$66,149 Объем

Morgan Stanley 79%

Goldman Sachs 14.7%

JPMorgan <1%

Bank of America <1%

Polymarket

$66,149 Объем

Morgan Stanley

$17,107 Объем

74%

Goldman Sachs

$12,889 Объем

15%

JPMorgan

$11,535 Объем

<1%

Bank of America

$5,606 Объем

<1%

Citigroup

$4,355 Объем

<1%

Barclays

$4,211 Объем

<1%

UBS

$3,500 Объем

<1%

Deutsche Bank

$4,228 Объем

<1%

Wells Fargo

$2,716 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 74% implied probability reflects its lead role in Anthropic’s $15 billion revolving credit facility and established dominance in large technology IPO mandates, positioning the firm for the “lead left” bookrunner slot ahead of a potential late-2026 listing. Goldman Sachs, at 14.7%, remains a close contender given its joint selection with Morgan Stanley as top underwriters following the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and its track record in high-profile AI and tech debuts, though recent syndicate dynamics have tilted trader consensus toward Morgan Stanley. JPMorgan and other banks trail at under 1% each, consistent with their secondary roles. Key near-term catalysts include the expected late-September public S-1 release and mid-October roadshow, which could clarify the final lead underwriter designation amid ongoing competition for economics and visibility on the prospectus.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$66,149
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 74% implied probability reflects its lead role in Anthropic’s $15 billion revolving credit facility and established dominance in large technology IPO mandates, positioning the firm for the “lead left” bookrunner slot ahead of a potential late-2026 listing. Goldman Sachs, at 14.7%, remains a close contender given its joint selection with Morgan Stanley as top underwriters following the June 2026 confidential S-1 filing and its track record in high-profile AI and tech debuts, though recent syndicate dynamics have tilted trader consensus toward Morgan Stanley. JPMorgan and other banks trail at under 1% each, consistent with their secondary roles. Key near-term catalysts include the expected late-September public S-1 release and mid-October roadshow, which could clarify the final lead underwriter designation amid ongoing competition for economics and visibility on the prospectus.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$66,149
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?

84%
icon for Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?

Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T?

44%
icon for Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?

Будет ли рыночная капитализация Anthropic составлять 600 млрд долларов США или больше к моменту закрытия рынка в день IPO до 31 декабря 2027 года?

96%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 9 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Morgan Stanley» с 74%, за ним следует «Goldman Sachs» с 15%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 74¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $66.1K с момента запуска рынка Jun 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?», просмотри 9 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?» — «Morgan Stanley» с 74%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 74%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Goldman Sachs» с 15%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.