Trader consensus on a 96.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of any criminal charges against Les Wexner despite intensified scrutiny following February 2026 DOJ releases of Epstein files naming him an internal co-conspirator in the 2019 sex-trafficking probe, his House Oversight Committee deposition where he denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes and claimed to have been "conned," and April civil lawsuits by victims alleging financial enablement. No federal indictment, arraignment, or DOJ announcements have emerged in the six weeks to June 30 resolution, reflecting historical patterns where such associations have not led to prosecution absent direct evidence of participation. Realistic shifts could arise from late-breaking victim testimony, special counsel review, or new FBI evidence prompting swift charges, though procedural timelines and Wexner's age (88) pose barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛес Векснер предъявит обвинение до 30 июня?
Лес Векснер предъявит обвинение до 30 июня?
Да
Да
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a 96.5% implied probability for "No" stems from the absence of any criminal charges against Les Wexner despite intensified scrutiny following February 2026 DOJ releases of Epstein files naming him an internal co-conspirator in the 2019 sex-trafficking probe, his House Oversight Committee deposition where he denied knowledge of Epstein's crimes and claimed to have been "conned," and April civil lawsuits by victims alleging financial enablement. No federal indictment, arraignment, or DOJ announcements have emerged in the six weeks to June 30 resolution, reflecting historical patterns where such associations have not led to prosecution absent direct evidence of participation. Realistic shifts could arise from late-breaking victim testimony, special counsel review, or new FBI evidence prompting swift charges, though procedural timelines and Wexner's age (88) pose barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы