President Donald Trump’s renewed August 5, 2026, notice to Lisa Cook alleging 2021 mortgage fraud has restarted the removal process, with a 21-day response window ending August 26. This follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling blocking an earlier attempt and underscoring the “for cause” standard plus due-process requirements under the Federal Reserve Act to preserve central-bank independence. Cook’s term runs through 2038, so any exit would require sustained legal success or resignation. Traders assess the odds against swift removal given institutional safeguards, prior court setbacks, and market sensitivity to political interference that could affect Fed funds rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено30 сентября
2%
31 октября
3%
30 ноября
5%
31 декабря
7%
$4,656 Объем
30 сентября
2%
31 октября
3%
30 ноября
5%
31 декабря
7%
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump’s renewed August 5, 2026, notice to Lisa Cook alleging 2021 mortgage fraud has restarted the removal process, with a 21-day response window ending August 26. This follows the Supreme Court’s June 29 ruling blocking an earlier attempt and underscoring the “for cause” standard plus due-process requirements under the Federal Reserve Act to preserve central-bank independence. Cook’s term runs through 2038, so any exit would require sustained legal success or resignation. Traders assess the odds against swift removal given institutional safeguards, prior court setbacks, and market sensitivity to political interference that could affect Fed funds rate expectations and Treasury yields.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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