Louisiana's partisan landscape and primary results underpin the strong Republican position in the November 2026 Senate race. Julia Letlow secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary and John Fleming in the June runoff, aided by a Trump endorsement that consolidated support. Democrat Jamie Davis, a Tensas Parish farmer and local official, faces structural disadvantages in a state with consistent Republican majorities in federal contests. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, including race ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Republican. Late developments such as turnout shifts, national economic conditions, or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Луизианы
Победитель выборов в Сенат Луизианы
$26,261 Объем
$26,261 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
93%
Демократ
7%
$26,261 Объем
$26,261 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$9,532 Объем
93%
Демократ
$16,729 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Louisiana's partisan landscape and primary results underpin the strong Republican position in the November 2026 Senate race. Julia Letlow secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary and John Fleming in the June runoff, aided by a Trump endorsement that consolidated support. Democrat Jamie Davis, a Tensas Parish farmer and local official, faces structural disadvantages in a state with consistent Republican majorities in federal contests. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, including race ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Republican. Late developments such as turnout shifts, national economic conditions, or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$26,261Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Louisiana's partisan landscape and primary results underpin the strong Republican position in the November 2026 Senate race. Julia Letlow secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary and John Fleming in the June runoff, aided by a Trump endorsement that consolidated support. Democrat Jamie Davis, a Tensas Parish farmer and local official, faces structural disadvantages in a state with consistent Republican majorities in federal contests. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, including race ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Republican. Late developments such as turnout shifts, national economic conditions, or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Louisiana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$26,261Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's partisan landscape and primary results underpin the strong Republican position in the November 2026 Senate race. Julia Letlow secured the GOP nomination after defeating incumbent Bill Cassidy in the May primary and John Fleming in the June runoff, aided by a Trump endorsement that consolidated support. Democrat Jamie Davis, a Tensas Parish farmer and local official, faces structural disadvantages in a state with consistent Republican majorities in federal contests. Trader consensus at 92.5% for the Republican reflects these fundamentals, including race ratings classifying the seat as solid or likely Republican. Late developments such as turnout shifts, national economic conditions, or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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