Republican nominee Julia Letlow holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2026 U.S. Senate race following her primary victory over incumbent Bill Cassidy, who lost after his 2021 impeachment vote against Donald Trump. Trump’s endorsement and the state’s consistent Republican tilt in federal contests, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat Solid Republican, underpin the market’s 93% probability for the GOP. Democratic nominee Jamie Davis faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate outcomes for years. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited, though unusually high Democratic turnout or unexpected national shifts before November 3, 2026, represent the primary variables that might alter the current trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Луизианы
$26,261 Объем
$26,261 Объем

Республиканец
93%

Демократ
7%
$26,261 Объем
$26,261 Объем

Республиканец
93%

Демократ
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Julia Letlow holds a commanding position in Louisiana’s 2026 U.S. Senate race following her primary victory over incumbent Bill Cassidy, who lost after his 2021 impeachment vote against Donald Trump. Trump’s endorsement and the state’s consistent Republican tilt in federal contests, reflected in multiple nonpartisan ratings labeling the seat Solid Republican, underpin the market’s 93% probability for the GOP. Democratic nominee Jamie Davis faces structural barriers in a state where Republicans have dominated Senate outcomes for years. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited, though unusually high Democratic turnout or unexpected national shifts before November 3, 2026, represent the primary variables that might alter the current trader consensus.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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