The Massachusetts 8th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan voting index, encompassing parts of Boston and eastern Massachusetts, underpins the 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and consistently securing wide margins, faces limited opposition infrastructure from Republicans, whose presumptive nominee Robert Burke enters a race rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. The September 1 Democratic primary between Lynch and challenger Patrick Roath introduces some uncertainty over the eventual standard-bearer, yet historical patterns and the absence of competitive Republican resources keep the seat's trajectory intact. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or abrupt national realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability factors relative to the district's structural fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$27,248 Объем
$27,248 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
2%
$27,248 Объем
$27,248 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$14,195 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$13,053 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 8th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan voting index, encompassing parts of Boston and eastern Massachusetts, underpins the 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and consistently securing wide margins, faces limited opposition infrastructure from Republicans, whose presumptive nominee Robert Burke enters a race rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. The September 1 Democratic primary between Lynch and challenger Patrick Roath introduces some uncertainty over the eventual standard-bearer, yet historical patterns and the absence of competitive Republican resources keep the seat's trajectory intact. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or abrupt national realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability factors relative to the district's structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$27,248Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Massachusetts 8th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan voting index, encompassing parts of Boston and eastern Massachusetts, underpins the 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and consistently securing wide margins, faces limited opposition infrastructure from Republicans, whose presumptive nominee Robert Burke enters a race rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. The September 1 Democratic primary between Lynch and challenger Patrick Roath introduces some uncertainty over the eventual standard-bearer, yet historical patterns and the absence of competitive Republican resources keep the seat's trajectory intact. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or abrupt national realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability factors relative to the district's structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,248Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Massachusetts 8th congressional district's strong Democratic partisan voting index, encompassing parts of Boston and eastern Massachusetts, underpins the 95% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Stephen Lynch, first elected in 2000 and consistently securing wide margins, faces limited opposition infrastructure from Republicans, whose presumptive nominee Robert Burke enters a race rated Solid Democratic by forecasters. The September 1 Democratic primary between Lynch and challenger Patrick Roath introduces some uncertainty over the eventual standard-bearer, yet historical patterns and the absence of competitive Republican resources keep the seat's trajectory intact. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or abrupt national realignment could theoretically narrow the margin, though these remain low-probability factors relative to the district's structural fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы