**Trader consensus favoring “No” at 79.5% reflects the Mamdani administration’s publicly stated timeline and practical barriers to opening any city-owned grocery store before the end of 2026.** Official announcements and planning documents consistently target late 2027 for the first location (the Peninsula/Hunts Point site in the Bronx) and 2029 for subsequent sites, including the ground-up La Marqueta project in East Harlem. The city has allocated $70 million in capital funding, issued RFPs for private operators, and identified two of five borough sites, but these steps—site selection, design, permitting, construction or build-out, and operator contracting—remain in early stages as of September 2026. Recent developments reinforce the gap: a September 2026 lawsuit by a trade group representing independent grocers challenges the program’s legal authority and impact on existing retailers, adding potential procedural delays. No administration statements or actions indicate an accelerated 2026 opening, and the model requires time for competitive procurement and compliance with labor and pricing standards. The implied probability therefore tracks the administration’s own schedule and standard municipal development timelines rather than any near-term breakthrough.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
21% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
21% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Zohran Mamdani has proposed creating city owned grocery stores to combat rising prices (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the City of New York during the Mamdani administration implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify.
Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify.
Only stores that are initiated, approved, or opened during Zohran Mamdani’s mayoralty and that are described in credible reporting or official City communications as part of the “city-owned grocery store” initiative associated with his campaign platform will qualify. Grocery stores created by previous or subsequent administrations, or any other government-run or subsidized retail programs that are not reasonably attributable to the Mamdani administration’s city-owned grocery store policy, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus favoring “No” at 79.5% reflects the Mamdani administration’s publicly stated timeline and practical barriers to opening any city-owned grocery store before the end of 2026.**
Official announcements and planning documents consistently target late 2027 for the first location (the Peninsula/Hunts Point site in the Bronx) and 2029 for subsequent sites, including the ground-up La Marqueta project in East Harlem. The city has allocated $70 million in capital funding, issued RFPs for private operators, and identified two of five borough sites, but these steps—site selection, design, permitting, construction or build-out, and operator contracting—remain in early stages as of September 2026.
Recent developments reinforce the gap: a September 2026 lawsuit by a trade group representing independent grocers challenges the program’s legal authority and impact on existing retailers, adding potential procedural delays. No administration statements or actions indicate an accelerated 2026 opening, and the model requires time for competitive procurement and compliance with labor and pricing standards.
The implied probability therefore tracks the administration’s own schedule and standard municipal development timelines rather than any near-term breakthrough.
Zohran Mamdani has proposed creating city owned grocery stores to combat rising prices (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the City of New York during the Mamdani administration implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify.
Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify.
Only stores that are initiated, approved, or opened during Zohran Mamdani’s mayoralty and that are described in credible reporting or official City communications as part of the “city-owned grocery store” initiative associated with his campaign platform will qualify. Grocery stores created by previous or subsequent administrations, or any other government-run or subsidized retail programs that are not reasonably attributable to the Mamdani administration’s city-owned grocery store policy, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the City of New York during the Mamdani administration implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify.
Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify.
Only stores that are initiated, approved, or opened during Zohran Mamdani’s mayoralty and that are described in credible reporting or official City communications as part of the “city-owned grocery store” initiative associated with his campaign platform will qualify. Grocery stores created by previous or subsequent administrations, or any other government-run or subsidized retail programs that are not reasonably attributable to the Mamdani administration’s city-owned grocery store policy, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jun 29, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Объем
$333Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 3:13 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani has proposed creating city owned grocery stores to combat rising prices (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the City of New York during the Mamdani administration implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify.
Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify.
Only stores that are initiated, approved, or opened during Zohran Mamdani’s mayoralty and that are described in credible reporting or official City communications as part of the “city-owned grocery store” initiative associated with his campaign platform will qualify. Grocery stores created by previous or subsequent administrations, or any other government-run or subsidized retail programs that are not reasonably attributable to the Mamdani administration’s city-owned grocery store policy, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus favoring “No” at 79.5% reflects the Mamdani administration’s publicly stated timeline and practical barriers to opening any city-owned grocery store before the end of 2026.**
Official announcements and planning documents consistently target late 2027 for the first location (the Peninsula/Hunts Point site in the Bronx) and 2029 for subsequent sites, including the ground-up La Marqueta project in East Harlem. The city has allocated $70 million in capital funding, issued RFPs for private operators, and identified two of five borough sites, but these steps—site selection, design, permitting, construction or build-out, and operator contracting—remain in early stages as of September 2026.
Recent developments reinforce the gap: a September 2026 lawsuit by a trade group representing independent grocers challenges the program’s legal authority and impact on existing retailers, adding potential procedural delays. No administration statements or actions indicate an accelerated 2026 opening, and the model requires time for competitive procurement and compliance with labor and pricing standards.
The implied probability therefore tracks the administration’s own schedule and standard municipal development timelines rather than any near-term breakthrough.
Zohran Mamdani has proposed creating city owned grocery stores to combat rising prices (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the City of New York during the Mamdani administration implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify.
Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify.
Only stores that are initiated, approved, or opened during Zohran Mamdani’s mayoralty and that are described in credible reporting or official City communications as part of the “city-owned grocery store” initiative associated with his campaign platform will qualify. Grocery stores created by previous or subsequent administrations, or any other government-run or subsidized retail programs that are not reasonably attributable to the Mamdani administration’s city-owned grocery store policy, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the City of New York during the Mamdani administration implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify.
Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify.
Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify.
Only stores that are initiated, approved, or opened during Zohran Mamdani’s mayoralty and that are described in credible reporting or official City communications as part of the “city-owned grocery store” initiative associated with his campaign platform will qualify. Grocery stores created by previous or subsequent administrations, or any other government-run or subsidized retail programs that are not reasonably attributable to the Mamdani administration’s city-owned grocery store policy, will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$333Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 29, 2026, 3:13 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**Trader consensus favoring “No” at 79.5% reflects the Mamdani administration’s publicly stated timeline and practical barriers to opening any city-owned grocery store before the end of 2026.** Official announcements and planning documents consistently target late 2027 for the first location (the Peninsula/Hunts Point site in the Bronx) and 2029 for subsequent sites, including the ground-up La Marqueta project in East Harlem. The city has allocated $70 million in capital funding, issued RFPs for private operators, and identified two of five borough sites, but these steps—site selection, design, permitting, construction or build-out, and operator contracting—remain in early stages as of September 2026. Recent developments reinforce the gap: a September 2026 lawsuit by a trade group representing independent grocers challenges the program’s legal authority and impact on existing retailers, adding potential procedural delays. No administration statements or actions indicate an accelerated 2026 opening, and the model requires time for competitive procurement and compliance with labor and pricing standards. The implied probability therefore tracks the administration’s own schedule and standard municipal development timelines rather than any near-term breakthrough.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы