The Massachusetts Senate race features a competitive Democratic primary on September 1 between incumbent Ed Markey and challenger Seth Moulton, with general election turnout on November 3 expected to reflect typical midterm patterns in the solidly Democratic state. Recent polls show Markey maintaining a lead but with notable undecided voters, while low general election enthusiasm and limited Republican prospects contribute to variable participation forecasts. Historical Senate turnout reached roughly 3.4 million in the 2024 presidential cycle but tends to decline in off-years absent high-profile contests or ballot measures. Traders appear evenly split across vote ranges because primary intensity, voter mobilization efforts, and external factors like weather or concurrent races could shift overall participation without a dominant signal yet emerging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<2,2 млн 45%
2,2М–2,35М 45%
2,35М–2,5М 45%
2,5М–2,65М 45%
<2,2 млн
45%
2,2М–2,35М
45%
2,35М–2,5М
45%
2,5М–2,65М
45%
2,65M-2,8M
45%
2,8М-2,95М
45%
2,95M-3,1M
45%
3,1 млн+
45%
<2,2 млн 45%
2,2М–2,35М 45%
2,35М–2,5М 45%
2,5М–2,65М 45%
<2,2 млн
45%
2,2М–2,35М
45%
2,35М–2,5М
45%
2,5М–2,65М
45%
2,65M-2,8M
45%
2,8М-2,95М
45%
2,95M-3,1M
45%
3,1 млн+
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Massachusetts, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Massachusetts Senate race features a competitive Democratic primary on September 1 between incumbent Ed Markey and challenger Seth Moulton, with general election turnout on November 3 expected to reflect typical midterm patterns in the solidly Democratic state. Recent polls show Markey maintaining a lead but with notable undecided voters, while low general election enthusiasm and limited Republican prospects contribute to variable participation forecasts. Historical Senate turnout reached roughly 3.4 million in the 2024 presidential cycle but tends to decline in off-years absent high-profile contests or ballot measures. Traders appear evenly split across vote ranges because primary intensity, voter mobilization efforts, and external factors like weather or concurrent races could shift overall participation without a dominant signal yet emerging.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Будет ли общее число поданных голосов на выборах сенатора от Нью-Гемпшира в промежуточных выборах 2026 года менее 500 000?
Будет ли количество отданных голосов на промежуточных выборах 2026 года за сенатора от штата Мэн менее 600 000?
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Illinois be less than 3,250,000?
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