US-Cuba diplomatic and commercial ties remain tightly constrained by the longstanding trade embargo and recent executive actions, including a May 2026 order adding sanctions and tariffs targeting third-country oil supplies to the island. These measures, alongside Cuba’s re-designation as a state sponsor of terrorism and indictments of former officials, limit US corporate expansion. Cuban leaders announced openness to select foreign restaurant franchises in June 2026, yet offered no specific commitments or regulatory pathways for American brands. With no corporate announcements or bilateral policy easing through mid-August, traders see prohibitive barriers to a McDonald’s entry announcement this year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
7% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
7% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Cuba diplomatic and commercial ties remain tightly constrained by the longstanding trade embargo and recent executive actions, including a May 2026 order adding sanctions and tariffs targeting third-country oil supplies to the island. These measures, alongside Cuba’s re-designation as a state sponsor of terrorism and indictments of former officials, limit US corporate expansion. Cuban leaders announced openness to select foreign restaurant franchises in June 2026, yet offered no specific commitments or regulatory pathways for American brands. With no corporate announcements or bilateral policy easing through mid-August, traders see prohibitive barriers to a McDonald’s entry announcement this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Объем
$1,394Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Cuba diplomatic and commercial ties remain tightly constrained by the longstanding trade embargo and recent executive actions, including a May 2026 order adding sanctions and tariffs targeting third-country oil supplies to the island. These measures, alongside Cuba’s re-designation as a state sponsor of terrorism and indictments of former officials, limit US corporate expansion. Cuban leaders announced openness to select foreign restaurant franchises in June 2026, yet offered no specific commitments or regulatory pathways for American brands. With no corporate announcements or bilateral policy easing through mid-August, traders see prohibitive barriers to a McDonald’s entry announcement this year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$1,394Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 25, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Cuba diplomatic and commercial ties remain tightly constrained by the longstanding trade embargo and recent executive actions, including a May 2026 order adding sanctions and tariffs targeting third-country oil supplies to the island. These measures, alongside Cuba’s re-designation as a state sponsor of terrorism and indictments of former officials, limit US corporate expansion. Cuban leaders announced openness to select foreign restaurant franchises in June 2026, yet offered no specific commitments or regulatory pathways for American brands. With no corporate announcements or bilateral policy easing through mid-August, traders see prohibitive barriers to a McDonald’s entry announcement this year.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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