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Политика·Праймериз 23 июня

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Политика·Праймериз 23 июня

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Гленн Айви 96.9%

Joseph Gomes 17%

Джонатан Уайт 15%

Jakeya Johnson 15%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Гленн Айви 96.9%

Joseph Gomes 17%

Джонатан Уайт 15%

Jakeya Johnson 15%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Гленн Айви

$356 Объем

97%

Joseph Gomes

$45 Объем

17%

Джонатан Уайт

$50 Объем

15%

Jakeya Johnson

$90 Объем

15%

Шавонн Хеджпет

$50 Объем

11%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Glenn Ivey, the incumbent U.S. representative for Maryland’s 4th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner according to trader consensus. His advantages include strong name recognition from prior victories, including an 84.9% primary share in 2024, established fundraising networks, and endorsements from state leaders such as Governor Wes Moore. The district’s deep Democratic lean makes the primary outcome decisive for the general election. Challengers including Joseph Gomes, Jonathan White, Shavonne Hedgepeth, and Jakeya Johnson remain on the ballot after the February filing deadline, but none have mounted significant threats in recent polling trends or campaign activity. The tight timeline to election day limits opportunities for late shifts in momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$593
Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Glenn Ivey, the incumbent U.S. representative for Maryland’s 4th Congressional District, holds a commanding position in the June 23 Democratic primary as the clear frontrunner according to trader consensus. His advantages include strong name recognition from prior victories, including an 84.9% primary share in 2024, established fundraising networks, and endorsements from state leaders such as Governor Wes Moore. The district’s deep Democratic lean makes the primary outcome decisive for the general election. Challengers including Joseph Gomes, Jonathan White, Shavonne Hedgepeth, and Jakeya Johnson remain on the ballot after the February filing deadline, but none have mounted significant threats in recent polling trends or campaign activity. The tight timeline to election day limits opportunities for late shifts in momentum.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$593
Открытие рынка
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Гленн Айви» с 97%, за ним следует «Joseph Gomes» с 17%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 97¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 10, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner », просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » — «Гленн Айви» с 97%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 97%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Joseph Gomes» с 17%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner » точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.