Maryland's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+39 partisan voter index, which underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 23 primary with more than 81 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the general election matchup against Republican George McDermott and Green Party candidate Sam Husseini. The district's consistent voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure have produced minimal movement in recent weeks. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require an unprecedented national Republican surge or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent's standing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$46,408 Объем
$46,408 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
99%
Республиканская партия
1%
$46,408 Объем
$46,408 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$20,929 Объем
99%
Республиканская партия
$25,480 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+39 partisan voter index, which underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 23 primary with more than 81 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the general election matchup against Republican George McDermott and Green Party candidate Sam Husseini. The district's consistent voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure have produced minimal movement in recent weeks. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require an unprecedented national Republican surge or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent's standing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$46,408Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+39 partisan voter index, which underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 23 primary with more than 81 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the general election matchup against Republican George McDermott and Green Party candidate Sam Husseini. The district's consistent voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure have produced minimal movement in recent weeks. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require an unprecedented national Republican surge or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent's standing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$46,408Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt reflected in its D+39 partisan voter index, which underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 23 primary with more than 81 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, demonstrating consolidated party support ahead of the general election matchup against Republican George McDermott and Green Party candidate Sam Husseini. The district's consistent voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure have produced minimal movement in recent weeks. Late developments capable of narrowing the margin would require an unprecedented national Republican surge or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent's standing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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