Morena maintains a commanding lead in national polling for the June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, reflecting its structural advantages as the governing party under President Claudia Sheinbaum and its strong performance in the 2024 contest. This positioning leaves the contest for second place as the primary variable priced by traders. Recent May–July 2026 surveys from multiple firms consistently place PAN ahead of PRI, PVEM, MC, and PT in vote intention, driven by PAN’s established organization in key states and its role as the leading opposition force. PRI’s longstanding decline after repeated electoral setbacks has widened the gap, while MC shows sporadic strength in isolated polls but lacks consistent national momentum. PVEM remains closely tied to the Morena coalition, limiting its independent standing. These polling trends underpin the current trader consensus on PAN as the clear second-place contender.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
PAN 76%
PRI 12.8%
PVEM 7%
MC 1.0%
$50,266 Объем
$50,266 Объем
6 июн. 2027 г.
PAN
76%
PRI
13%
PT
<1%
PVEM
7%
MC
1%
Morena
1%
PAN 76%
PRI 12.8%
PVEM 7%
MC 1.0%
$50,266 Объем
$50,266 Объем
6 июн. 2027 г.
PAN
$23,684 Объем
76%
PRI
$8,820 Объем
13%
PT
$5,194 Объем
<1%
PVEM
$7,862 Объем
7%
MC
$1,818 Объем
1%
Morena
$2,888 Объем
1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in national polling for the June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, reflecting its structural advantages as the governing party under President Claudia Sheinbaum and its strong performance in the 2024 contest. This positioning leaves the contest for second place as the primary variable priced by traders. Recent May–July 2026 surveys from multiple firms consistently place PAN ahead of PRI, PVEM, MC, and PT in vote intention, driven by PAN’s established organization in key states and its role as the leading opposition force. PRI’s longstanding decline after repeated electoral setbacks has widened the gap, while MC shows sporadic strength in isolated polls but lacks consistent national momentum. PVEM remains closely tied to the Morena coalition, limiting its independent standing. These polling trends underpin the current trader consensus on PAN as the clear second-place contender.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Открытие рынка: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
Объем
$50,266Дата окончания
6 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in national polling for the June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, reflecting its structural advantages as the governing party under President Claudia Sheinbaum and its strong performance in the 2024 contest. This positioning leaves the contest for second place as the primary variable priced by traders. Recent May–July 2026 surveys from multiple firms consistently place PAN ahead of PRI, PVEM, MC, and PT in vote intention, driven by PAN’s established organization in key states and its role as the leading opposition force. PRI’s longstanding decline after repeated electoral setbacks has widened the gap, while MC shows sporadic strength in isolated polls but lacks consistent national momentum. PVEM remains closely tied to the Morena coalition, limiting its independent standing. These polling trends underpin the current trader consensus on PAN as the clear second-place contender.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Объем
$50,266Дата окончания
6 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding lead in national polling for the June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election, reflecting its structural advantages as the governing party under President Claudia Sheinbaum and its strong performance in the 2024 contest. This positioning leaves the contest for second place as the primary variable priced by traders. Recent May–July 2026 surveys from multiple firms consistently place PAN ahead of PRI, PVEM, MC, and PT in vote intention, driven by PAN’s established organization in key states and its role as the leading opposition force. PRI’s longstanding decline after repeated electoral setbacks has widened the gap, while MC shows sporadic strength in isolated polls but lacks consistent national momentum. PVEM remains closely tied to the Morena coalition, limiting its independent standing. These polling trends underpin the current trader consensus on PAN as the clear second-place contender.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы