Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election due to its structural advantages as the incumbent party, including unified leadership under President Claudia Sheinbaum and a broad coalition that secured a supermajority in the 2024 contest. Recent internal reorganization, with Ariadna Montiel Reyes installed as party president to emphasize territorial control and discipline, reinforces this position ahead of the June 2027 vote. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with PRI, PAN, and MC showing persistently low single-digit support in May 2026 polling. Legislative moves, such as the Senate's approval of measures allowing annulment of results over foreign interference, further bolster Morena's consolidation of institutional leverage. These factors have kept the implied probability for a Morena plurality or majority outcome well above 80 percent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMorena 87.7%
PRI 3.2%
PAN 2.3%
MC <1%
$54,239 Объем
$54,239 Объем
6 июн. 2027 г.
Morena
88%
PRI
3%
PAN
2%
MC
1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 87.7%
PRI 3.2%
PAN 2.3%
MC <1%
$54,239 Объем
$54,239 Объем
6 июн. 2027 г.
Morena
$26,666 Объем
88%
PRI
$4,602 Объем
3%
PAN
$5,760 Объем
2%
MC
$7,027 Объем
1%
PT
$4,724 Объем
<1%
PVEM
$5,460 Объем
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election due to its structural advantages as the incumbent party, including unified leadership under President Claudia Sheinbaum and a broad coalition that secured a supermajority in the 2024 contest. Recent internal reorganization, with Ariadna Montiel Reyes installed as party president to emphasize territorial control and discipline, reinforces this position ahead of the June 2027 vote. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with PRI, PAN, and MC showing persistently low single-digit support in May 2026 polling. Legislative moves, such as the Senate's approval of measures allowing annulment of results over foreign interference, further bolster Morena's consolidation of institutional leverage. These factors have kept the implied probability for a Morena plurality or majority outcome well above 80 percent.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Объем
$54,239Дата окончания
6 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election due to its structural advantages as the incumbent party, including unified leadership under President Claudia Sheinbaum and a broad coalition that secured a supermajority in the 2024 contest. Recent internal reorganization, with Ariadna Montiel Reyes installed as party president to emphasize territorial control and discipline, reinforces this position ahead of the June 2027 vote. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with PRI, PAN, and MC showing persistently low single-digit support in May 2026 polling. Legislative moves, such as the Senate's approval of measures allowing annulment of results over foreign interference, further bolster Morena's consolidation of institutional leverage. These factors have kept the implied probability for a Morena plurality or majority outcome well above 80 percent.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Объем
$54,239Дата окончания
6 июн. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader pricing for the 2027 Mexican Chamber of Deputies election due to its structural advantages as the incumbent party, including unified leadership under President Claudia Sheinbaum and a broad coalition that secured a supermajority in the 2024 contest. Recent internal reorganization, with Ariadna Montiel Reyes installed as party president to emphasize territorial control and discipline, reinforces this position ahead of the June 2027 vote. Opposition parties remain fragmented, with PRI, PAN, and MC showing persistently low single-digit support in May 2026 polling. Legislative moves, such as the Senate's approval of measures allowing annulment of results over foreign interference, further bolster Morena's consolidation of institutional leverage. These factors have kept the implied probability for a Morena plurality or majority outcome well above 80 percent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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