Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar secured the party nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November 2026 general election as the clear frontrunner in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a western and central Michigan seat encompassing rural counties and portions of the Grand Rapids metro area. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, combined with limited name recognition and fundraising for Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Primary results showed no significant intra-party challenges, and no major polling shifts or external events have altered the baseline since the filing deadline. A late-breaking scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge in battleground states, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural advantages for the incumbent remain substantial heading into the fall campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
$53,824 Объем
$53,824 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
97%
Демократическая партия
1%
$53,824 Объем
$53,824 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$22,737 Объем
97%
Демократическая партия
$31,087 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar secured the party nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November 2026 general election as the clear frontrunner in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a western and central Michigan seat encompassing rural counties and portions of the Grand Rapids metro area. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, combined with limited name recognition and fundraising for Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Primary results showed no significant intra-party challenges, and no major polling shifts or external events have altered the baseline since the filing deadline. A late-breaking scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge in battleground states, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural advantages for the incumbent remain substantial heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$53,824Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar secured the party nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November 2026 general election as the clear frontrunner in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a western and central Michigan seat encompassing rural counties and portions of the Grand Rapids metro area. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, combined with limited name recognition and fundraising for Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Primary results showed no significant intra-party challenges, and no major polling shifts or external events have altered the baseline since the filing deadline. A late-breaking scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge in battleground states, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural advantages for the incumbent remain substantial heading into the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$53,824Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar secured the party nomination in the August 4 primary and enters the November 2026 general election as the clear frontrunner in Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, a western and central Michigan seat encompassing rural counties and portions of the Grand Rapids metro area. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, demonstrated by Moolenaar’s 65 percent margin in 2024, combined with limited name recognition and fundraising for Democratic nominee Ben Ambrose, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. Primary results showed no significant intra-party challenges, and no major polling shifts or external events have altered the baseline since the filing deadline. A late-breaking scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge in battleground states, or unforeseen candidate withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, though structural advantages for the incumbent remain substantial heading into the fall campaign.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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