Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-03
$19,116 Объем
$19,116 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
7%
$19,116 Объем
$19,116 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$15,174 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$3,942 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Объем
$19,116Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$19,116Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district race, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic Party at 92 percent. The western Michigan seat, encompassing Grand Rapids and surrounding counties, carries a modest Democratic lean and has trended left since 2016, with Scholten securing reelection by roughly ten points in 2024. She faced no primary opposition on August 4, while Republican Terri DeBoer emerged from her contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Democratic, supported by Scholten’s substantial fundraising edge. A national Republican surge, sharp shifts in voter turnout, or late developments exposing candidate vulnerabilities could narrow the margin, though the district’s structural fundamentals constrain realistic upset potential.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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