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Политика·Начальная школа Мичигана

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Политика·Начальная школа Мичигана

MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bridget Brink 54%

William Lawrence 44%

Matt Maasdam 5.6%

Elyon Badger 3.6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Bridget Brink 54%

William Lawrence 44%

Matt Maasdam 5.6%

Elyon Badger 3.6%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Bridget Brink

$1,332 Объем

54%

William Lawrence

$4,956 Объем

44%

Matt Maasdam

$655 Объем

6%

Elyon Badger

$631 Объем

4%

Josh Cowen

$844 Объем

2%

Muhammad Salman Rais

$602 Объем

2%

Alexandra Prieditis

$698 Объем

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the MI-07 Democratic primary tilts slightly toward Bridget Brink at 53.5% implied probability over William Lawrence at 44.5%, reflecting her stronger fundraising ($1.3 million cash on hand as of late March), establishment endorsements from former Michigan House Speaker Joe Tate and Emily's List, and national profile as former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine—positioning her as a general election asset against GOP incumbent Tom Barrett in this toss-up district. Lawrence's grassroots momentum, local Lansing ties, and fresh endorsement from Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13 have closed the gap, aligning with his campaign's internal polls showing leads amid high undecideds (over 80% in a March neutral survey). The race remains tight due to progressive vs. moderate tensions; independent polling, debates, or further endorsements could tip the balance before the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$9,718
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the MI-07 Democratic primary tilts slightly toward Bridget Brink at 53.5% implied probability over William Lawrence at 44.5%, reflecting her stronger fundraising ($1.3 million cash on hand as of late March), establishment endorsements from former Michigan House Speaker Joe Tate and Emily's List, and national profile as former U.S. Ambassador to Ukraine—positioning her as a general election asset against GOP incumbent Tom Barrett in this toss-up district. Lawrence's grassroots momentum, local Lansing ties, and fresh endorsement from Rep. Rashida Tlaib on May 13 have closed the gap, aligning with his campaign's internal polls showing leads amid high undecideds (over 80% in a March neutral survey). The race remains tight due to progressive vs. moderate tensions; independent polling, debates, or further endorsements could tip the balance before the August 4 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$9,718
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 23, 2026, 10:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Bridget Brink» с 54%, за ним следует «William Lawrence» с 44%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 23, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Bridget Brink» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «William Lawrence» с 44%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «MI-07 Democratic Primary Winner» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.