Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 58 percent victory in 2024. With Rep. Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a Senate bid, multiple Democrats are competing in the August primary while the Republican nominee, Troy Mayor Ethan Baker, faces limited name recognition and fundraising. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's suburban Oakland County composition and voter registration patterns that favor the party. Traders price in this structural advantage ahead of the November general election, though an unusually strong Republican performance in the broader midterm environment or a divisive Democratic primary outcome could narrow the margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$65,889 Объем
$65,889 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
1%
$65,889 Объем
$65,889 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
$45,379 Объем
93%
Republican Party
$20,510 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 58 percent victory in 2024. With Rep. Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a Senate bid, multiple Democrats are competing in the August primary while the Republican nominee, Troy Mayor Ethan Baker, faces limited name recognition and fundraising. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's suburban Oakland County composition and voter registration patterns that favor the party. Traders price in this structural advantage ahead of the November general election, though an unusually strong Republican performance in the broader midterm environment or a divisive Democratic primary outcome could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$65,889Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 58 percent victory in 2024. With Rep. Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a Senate bid, multiple Democrats are competing in the August primary while the Republican nominee, Troy Mayor Ethan Baker, faces limited name recognition and fundraising. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's suburban Oakland County composition and voter registration patterns that favor the party. Traders price in this structural advantage ahead of the November general election, though an unusually strong Republican performance in the broader midterm environment or a divisive Democratic primary outcome could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$65,889Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district carries a Partisan Voter Index of D+9 and has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 58 percent victory in 2024. With Rep. Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a Senate bid, multiple Democrats are competing in the August primary while the Republican nominee, Troy Mayor Ethan Baker, faces limited name recognition and fundraising. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's suburban Oakland County composition and voter registration patterns that favor the party. Traders price in this structural advantage ahead of the November general election, though an unusually strong Republican performance in the broader midterm environment or a divisive Democratic primary outcome could narrow the margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы