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Политика·выборы

Сенат Мичигана и губернатор Комбо

icon for Сенат Мичигана и губернатор Комбо
Политика·выборы

Сенат Мичигана и губернатор Комбо

Победа демократов 56%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы — Сенат 30%

Победа республиканцев 10%

Республиканцы выигрывают губернаторство, демократы выигрывают Сенат 2.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Победа демократов 56%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы — Сенат 30%

Победа республиканцев 10%

Республиканцы выигрывают губернаторство, демократы выигрывают Сенат 2.0%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Победа демократов

$146 Объем

56%

Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы — Сенат

$269 Объем

30%

Победа республиканцев

$445 Объем

10%

Республиканцы выигрывают губернаторство, демократы выигрывают Сенат

$631 Объем

2%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent primaries on August 4 produced Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed for Senate against Republican Mike Rogers and Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson for governor against Republican John James. Senate general-election polls show a narrow contest, with Fox News giving Rogers a 51-47 edge and others reporting statistical ties or small leads for either side. Governor polls indicate a modest Democratic advantage for Benson. These results sustain high implied probabilities for a Democratic sweep or split outcomes while keeping Republican sweep odds low, as the Senate race remains competitive and sensitive to turnout patterns, candidate messaging, and any late shifts in voter preference across Michigan's battleground electorate.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$1,491
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. Recent primaries on August 4 produced Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed for Senate against Republican Mike Rogers and Democratic nominee Jocelyn Benson for governor against Republican John James. Senate general-election polls show a narrow contest, with Fox News giving Rogers a 51-47 edge and others reporting statistical ties or small leads for either side. Governor polls indicate a modest Democratic advantage for Benson. These results sustain high implied probabilities for a Democratic sweep or split outcomes while keeping Republican sweep odds low, as the Senate race remains competitive and sensitive to turnout patterns, candidate messaging, and any late shifts in voter preference across Michigan's battleground electorate.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$1,491
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 11:08 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Michigan that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Связанные

icon for Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора штата Мэн?

Смогут ли демократы одержать победу на выборах в сенат и на пост губернатора штата Мэн?

63%
Да
icon for Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

Сумеют ли демократы одержать убедительную победу на выборах в Сенат и губернаторы Аляски?

31%
Да
icon for Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?

Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?

39%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Сенат Мичигана и губернатор Комбо» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Победа демократов» с 56%, за ним следует «Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы — Сенат» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 56¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Сенат Мичигана и губернатор Комбо» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 11, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Сенат Мичигана и губернатор Комбо», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Сенат Мичигана и губернатор Комбо» — «Победа демократов» с 56%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 56%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократы выигрывают губернатора, республиканцы — Сенат» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Сенат Мичигана и губернатор Комбо» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.