Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow Democratic primary victory on August 4-5, 2026, positions him strongly in Oakland County, a key suburban Detroit battleground where recent cycles have favored Democratic Senate candidates. His performance across liberal strongholds and college towns statewide, combined with polling showing a slight general-election edge over Mike Rogers, underpins trader consensus that he will carry the county. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, benefits from conservative support in rural and outstate areas but faces structural challenges in Oakland’s more moderate electorate. Factors that could shift the outcome include higher-than-expected Republican turnout among independents or White suburban voters, or late developments that boost Rogers’ appeal on issues like the economy and security. The race remains one of the closest Senate contests nationally.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Мичигана: победитель округа Окленд
Выборы в Сенат Мичигана: победитель округа Окленд
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Абдул Эль-Сайед (Д)
93%
Майк Роджерс (Р)
8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Абдул Эль-Сайед (Д)
$610 Объем
93%
Майк Роджерс (Р)
$320 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow Democratic primary victory on August 4-5, 2026, positions him strongly in Oakland County, a key suburban Detroit battleground where recent cycles have favored Democratic Senate candidates. His performance across liberal strongholds and college towns statewide, combined with polling showing a slight general-election edge over Mike Rogers, underpins trader consensus that he will carry the county. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, benefits from conservative support in rural and outstate areas but faces structural challenges in Oakland’s more moderate electorate. Factors that could shift the outcome include higher-than-expected Republican turnout among independents or White suburban voters, or late developments that boost Rogers’ appeal on issues like the economy and security. The race remains one of the closest Senate contests nationally.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Объем
$930Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow Democratic primary victory on August 4-5, 2026, positions him strongly in Oakland County, a key suburban Detroit battleground where recent cycles have favored Democratic Senate candidates. His performance across liberal strongholds and college towns statewide, combined with polling showing a slight general-election edge over Mike Rogers, underpins trader consensus that he will carry the county. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, benefits from conservative support in rural and outstate areas but faces structural challenges in Oakland’s more moderate electorate. Factors that could shift the outcome include higher-than-expected Republican turnout among independents or White suburban voters, or late developments that boost Rogers’ appeal on issues like the economy and security. The race remains one of the closest Senate contests nationally.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Oakland County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Oakland County.
Объем
$930Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 1, 2026, 1:30 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed’s narrow Democratic primary victory on August 4-5, 2026, positions him strongly in Oakland County, a key suburban Detroit battleground where recent cycles have favored Democratic Senate candidates. His performance across liberal strongholds and college towns statewide, combined with polling showing a slight general-election edge over Mike Rogers, underpins trader consensus that he will carry the county. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, benefits from conservative support in rural and outstate areas but faces structural challenges in Oakland’s more moderate electorate. Factors that could shift the outcome include higher-than-expected Republican turnout among independents or White suburban voters, or late developments that boost Rogers’ appeal on issues like the economy and security. The race remains one of the closest Senate contests nationally.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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