Ongoing tensions within the Republican conference over advancing major legislation have sustained pressure on House Speaker Mike Johnson amid a narrow majority that demands near-unanimous support for procedural rules and funding measures. In late April 2026, multiple Republican members threatened to withhold votes on key rule packages and appropriations bills, reflecting internal divisions on priorities such as border security and government funding amid shutdown risks. These episodes echo historical patterns where slim margins have triggered leadership challenges, though no formal ouster motion has advanced. Traders monitor upcoming floor votes and caucus dynamics through the remainder of the session, weighing the potential for late-session compromises or escalations that could shift the implied probability of Johnson remaining in the role through December 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоМайк Джонсон вышел из роли спикера...?
Майк Джонсон вышел из роли спикера...?
$101,538 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
30 июня 2026 года
6%
31 декабря 2026 года
25%
$101,538 Объем
30 июня 2026 года
$5,536 Объем
6%
31 декабря 2026 года
$2,666 Объем
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Ongoing tensions within the Republican conference over advancing major legislation have sustained pressure on House Speaker Mike Johnson amid a narrow majority that demands near-unanimous support for procedural rules and funding measures. In late April 2026, multiple Republican members threatened to withhold votes on key rule packages and appropriations bills, reflecting internal divisions on priorities such as border security and government funding amid shutdown risks. These episodes echo historical patterns where slim margins have triggered leadership challenges, though no formal ouster motion has advanced. Traders monitor upcoming floor votes and caucus dynamics through the remainder of the session, weighing the potential for late-session compromises or escalations that could shift the implied probability of Johnson remaining in the role through December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ET
Объем
$101,538Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Ongoing tensions within the Republican conference over advancing major legislation have sustained pressure on House Speaker Mike Johnson amid a narrow majority that demands near-unanimous support for procedural rules and funding measures. In late April 2026, multiple Republican members threatened to withhold votes on key rule packages and appropriations bills, reflecting internal divisions on priorities such as border security and government funding amid shutdown risks. These episodes echo historical patterns where slim margins have triggered leadership challenges, though no formal ouster motion has advanced. Traders monitor upcoming floor votes and caucus dynamics through the remainder of the session, weighing the potential for late-session compromises or escalations that could shift the implied probability of Johnson remaining in the role through December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Объем
$101,538Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 4, 2025, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing tensions within the Republican conference over advancing major legislation have sustained pressure on House Speaker Mike Johnson amid a narrow majority that demands near-unanimous support for procedural rules and funding measures. In late April 2026, multiple Republican members threatened to withhold votes on key rule packages and appropriations bills, reflecting internal divisions on priorities such as border security and government funding amid shutdown risks. These episodes echo historical patterns where slim margins have triggered leadership challenges, though no formal ouster motion has advanced. Traders monitor upcoming floor votes and caucus dynamics through the remainder of the session, weighing the potential for late-session compromises or escalations that could shift the implied probability of Johnson remaining in the role through December 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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