Aaron Judge holds the edge in trader consensus at 37% implied probability for MLB home run leader, fueled by his league-record 62 homers in 2022 and 58 in 2024, plus tying the current lead at 16 long balls alongside Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber, whose blistering six homers over five games have propelled him to 20% amid a .950 OPS start in hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park. White Sox newcomer Munetaka Murakami sits one back at 15 with a historic rookie surge post his $34 million signing, earning 15% on raw power from his NPB background. Braves 1B Matt Olson (14 HRs, 7%) and Astros OF Yordan Alvarez (13, 7%) lurk as proven sluggers rebounding strong early, while clean injury reports and favorable schedules sustain the top pack in this marathon race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAaron Judge 37%
Kyle Schwarber 23%
Munetaka Murakami 14%
Matt Olson 7.2%
Aaron Judge
37%
Kyle Schwarber
23%
Munetaka Murakami
14%
Matt Olson
7%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Ben Rice
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
CJ Abrams
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
George Springer
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
Aaron Judge 37%
Kyle Schwarber 23%
Munetaka Murakami 14%
Matt Olson 7.2%
Aaron Judge
37%
Kyle Schwarber
23%
Munetaka Murakami
14%
Matt Olson
7%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Ben Rice
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
CJ Abrams
1%
Manny Machado
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
George Springer
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge holds the edge in trader consensus at 37% implied probability for MLB home run leader, fueled by his league-record 62 homers in 2022 and 58 in 2024, plus tying the current lead at 16 long balls alongside Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber, whose blistering six homers over five games have propelled him to 20% amid a .950 OPS start in hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park. White Sox newcomer Munetaka Murakami sits one back at 15 with a historic rookie surge post his $34 million signing, earning 15% on raw power from his NPB background. Braves 1B Matt Olson (14 HRs, 7%) and Astros OF Yordan Alvarez (13, 7%) lurk as proven sluggers rebounding strong early, while clean injury reports and favorable schedules sustain the top pack in this marathon race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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