Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, which covers much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in Ramsey County and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. All major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, who prevailed in his lower-turnout primary. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including McCollum's 67.6% share in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding historical norms for this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-04
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-04
$21,291 Объем
$21,291 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
6%
$21,291 Объем
$21,291 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$3,902 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$17,390 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, which covers much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in Ramsey County and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. All major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, who prevailed in his lower-turnout primary. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including McCollum's 67.6% share in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding historical norms for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$21,291Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, which covers much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in Ramsey County and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. All major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, who prevailed in his lower-turnout primary. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including McCollum's 67.6% share in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding historical norms for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,291Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Betty McCollum secured her party's nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with over 85% of the vote in Minnesota's 4th Congressional District, which covers much of Saint Paul and surrounding areas in Ramsey County and carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18. All major forecasters rate the general election as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 contest against Republican nominee Paul Wikstrom, who prevailed in his lower-turnout primary. The district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including McCollum's 67.6% share in 2024, combined with the absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus reflected in current market pricing. A significant shift would require an unforeseen late-cycle event such as a major scandal or national political realignment exceeding historical norms for this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы