Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 and benefits from established fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited resources or national support. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or significant turnout changes that overcome the district's underlying partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMN-04 House Election Winner
MN-04 House Election Winner
$12,709 Объем
$12,709 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$12,709 Объем
$12,709 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Democratic Party
$3,382 Объем
94%
Republican Party
$9,327 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 and benefits from established fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited resources or national support. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or significant turnout changes that overcome the district's underlying partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$12,709Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 and benefits from established fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited resources or national support. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or significant turnout changes that overcome the district's underlying partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,709Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Betty McCollum, seeking re-election in the November 3, 2026 general election, faces only token primary opposition on August 11 and benefits from established fundraising, endorsements, and name recognition in a district that has favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited resources or national support. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or significant turnout changes that overcome the district's underlying partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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