Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of long-serving incumbent Sam Graves. Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by Graves and aligned with the district’s rural northern Missouri base, St. Joseph, and northern Kansas City suburbs. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and limited early general-election activity. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, major candidate-specific developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window ending November 3, 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$37,446 Объем
$37,446 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
7%
$37,446 Объем
$37,446 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$26,145 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$11,301 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of long-serving incumbent Sam Graves. Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by Graves and aligned with the district’s rural northern Missouri base, St. Joseph, and northern Kansas City suburbs. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and limited early general-election activity. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, major candidate-specific developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window ending November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$37,446Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of long-serving incumbent Sam Graves. Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by Graves and aligned with the district’s rural northern Missouri base, St. Joseph, and northern Kansas City suburbs. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and limited early general-election activity. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, major candidate-specific developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window ending November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,446Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of long-serving incumbent Sam Graves. Chris Stigall secured the GOP nomination in the August 4 primary with 44 percent of the vote, backed by Graves and aligned with the district’s rural northern Missouri base, St. Joseph, and northern Kansas City suburbs. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have consistently posted double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader pricing at 93.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this entrenched partisan advantage and limited early general-election activity. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment, major candidate-specific developments, or significant shifts in turnout patterns within the resolution window ending November 3, 2026.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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