Montana’s Republican electoral advantages and unified party support for nominee Kurt Alme underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew just before the March filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with 76% in the June primary after receiving President Trump’s backing. Recent polls through early August show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins amid limited Democratic consolidation in this red state. Bodnar’s independent bid has drawn some support but has yet to close the gap. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include stronger Bodnar performance consolidating opposition votes or unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Монтаны
Победитель выборов в Сенат Монтаны
Республиканец 93%
Независимый 3.6%
Демократ <1%
$111,340 Объем
$111,340 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
93%
Независимый
4%
Демократ
1%
Республиканец 93%
Независимый 3.6%
Демократ <1%
$111,340 Объем
$111,340 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканец
$55,889 Объем
93%
Независимый
$15,289 Объем
4%
Демократ
$40,162 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana’s Republican electoral advantages and unified party support for nominee Kurt Alme underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew just before the March filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with 76% in the June primary after receiving President Trump’s backing. Recent polls through early August show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins amid limited Democratic consolidation in this red state. Bodnar’s independent bid has drawn some support but has yet to close the gap. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include stronger Bodnar performance consolidating opposition votes or unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Объем
$111,340Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Montana’s Republican electoral advantages and unified party support for nominee Kurt Alme underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew just before the March filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with 76% in the June primary after receiving President Trump’s backing. Recent polls through early August show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins amid limited Democratic consolidation in this red state. Bodnar’s independent bid has drawn some support but has yet to close the gap. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include stronger Bodnar performance consolidating opposition votes or unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Montana U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$111,340Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Montana’s Republican electoral advantages and unified party support for nominee Kurt Alme underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Republican victory in the 2026 Senate race. Incumbent Steve Daines withdrew just before the March filing deadline and endorsed Alme, who secured the nomination with 76% in the June primary after receiving President Trump’s backing. Recent polls through early August show Alme leading independent Seth Bodnar and Democrat Alani Bankhead by double-digit margins amid limited Democratic consolidation in this red state. Bodnar’s independent bid has drawn some support but has yet to close the gap. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include stronger Bodnar performance consolidating opposition votes or unexpected shifts in turnout or national conditions before the November election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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