The tightly bunched probabilities around 45-50% for dozens of entry fraggers reflect a wide-open race heading into the September 24 group stage in Shanghai. No single duelist has separated himself in recent VCT Stage 2 play or prior international events, as first-blood volume hinges on map-specific agent pools, team executes, and series length across the double-elimination format. Players such as lukxo, Trent, and Slowly posted strong opening-duel ratios in regional finals, while established names like bang, Jinggg, and nobody carry comparable volume potential on deep playoff runs. This even distribution captures trader consensus that consistent early-round impact will decide the leader rather than any pre-tournament favorite.