Jorge Martin holds the slimmest edge in the 2026 MotoGP title fight at 240 points after 12 rounds, ahead of Aprilia teammate Marco Bezzecchi (209), Trackhouse Aprilia rider Ai Ogura (203), Ducati Lenovo's Marc Marquez (200), and VR46 Ducati's Fabio Di Giannantonio (199). The top five sit within 41 points of the lead with roughly half the 22-round calendar remaining, creating tight implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 46.5%. Aprilia's strong collective form and recent sprint success for Martin have kept him in front, while consistent podium threats from Marquez and Di Giannantonio, plus Raul Fernandez's Silverstone victory, prevent any single rider from pulling clear. Late-season variables such as injuries, mechanical reliability, and track-specific pace on upcoming circuits like Aragon continue to sustain the bunched market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоJorge Martin 46%
Marco Bezzecchi 45%
Marc Marquez 38%
Ai Ogura 38%
Jorge Martin
46%
Marco Bezzecchi
45%
Marc Marquez
38%
Ai Ogura
38%
Fabio Di Giannantonio
38%
Francesco Bagnaia
38%
Luca Marini
37%
Fermin Aldeguer
37%
Raul Fernandez
37%
Alex Marquez
37%
Enea Bastianini
37%
Brad Binder
37%
Fabio Quartararo
37%
Joan Mir
37%
Jack Miller
37%
Diogo Moreira
37%
Franco Morbidelli
37%
Johann Zarco
37%
Toprak Razgatlioglu
37%
Maverick Vinales
37%
Iker Lecuona
37%
Pol Espargaro
37%
Pedro Acosta
36%
Alex Rins
36%
Augusto Fernandez
36%
Jorge Martin 46%
Marco Bezzecchi 45%
Marc Marquez 38%
Ai Ogura 38%
Jorge Martin
46%
Marco Bezzecchi
45%
Marc Marquez
38%
Ai Ogura
38%
Fabio Di Giannantonio
38%
Francesco Bagnaia
38%
Luca Marini
37%
Fermin Aldeguer
37%
Raul Fernandez
37%
Alex Marquez
37%
Enea Bastianini
37%
Brad Binder
37%
Fabio Quartararo
37%
Joan Mir
37%
Jack Miller
37%
Diogo Moreira
37%
Franco Morbidelli
37%
Johann Zarco
37%
Toprak Razgatlioglu
37%
Maverick Vinales
37%
Iker Lecuona
37%
Pol Espargaro
37%
Pedro Acosta
36%
Alex Rins
36%
Augusto Fernandez
36%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 28, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.motogp.comКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed rider to win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from title contention), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 MotoGP season is cancelled, postponed after December 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no World Champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from MotoGP / the FIM (https://www.motogp.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.motogp.comКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Jorge Martin holds the slimmest edge in the 2026 MotoGP title fight at 240 points after 12 rounds, ahead of Aprilia teammate Marco Bezzecchi (209), Trackhouse Aprilia rider Ai Ogura (203), Ducati Lenovo's Marc Marquez (200), and VR46 Ducati's Fabio Di Giannantonio (199). The top five sit within 41 points of the lead with roughly half the 22-round calendar remaining, creating tight implied probabilities clustered between 36% and 46.5%. Aprilia's strong collective form and recent sprint success for Martin have kept him in front, while consistent podium threats from Marquez and Di Giannantonio, plus Raul Fernandez's Silverstone victory, prevent any single rider from pulling clear. Late-season variables such as injuries, mechanical reliability, and track-specific pace on upcoming circuits like Aragon continue to sustain the bunched market.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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