Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, following unopposed primary wins for both in March. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including Guest's unopposed 2024 reelection, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 96 percent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the area's electoral math and limited Democratic infrastructure. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged since the primaries. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical precedent in this eastern and southwestern Mississippi district makes such shifts unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MS-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MS-03
$54,999 Объем
$54,999 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
96%
Демократическая партия
3%
$54,999 Объем
$54,999 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$15,705 Объем
96%
Демократическая партия
$39,294 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, following unopposed primary wins for both in March. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including Guest's unopposed 2024 reelection, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 96 percent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the area's electoral math and limited Democratic infrastructure. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged since the primaries. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical precedent in this eastern and southwestern Mississippi district makes such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$54,999Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, following unopposed primary wins for both in March. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including Guest's unopposed 2024 reelection, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 96 percent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the area's electoral math and limited Democratic infrastructure. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged since the primaries. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical precedent in this eastern and southwestern Mississippi district makes such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$54,999Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio in Mississippi's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, following unopposed primary wins for both in March. The district's consistent Republican voting patterns, including Guest's unopposed 2024 reelection, underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 96 percent. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the area's electoral math and limited Democratic infrastructure. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have emerged since the primaries. A late scandal, incumbent health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow margins, though historical precedent in this eastern and southwestern Mississippi district makes such shifts unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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