The early-stage Nayarit 2027 gubernatorial race features a dominant Morena-PT-PVEM coalition in party preference polling around 50 percent, yet fragmented support among individual aspirants keeps individual outcome prices clustered in the 20-40 percent range. Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, a sitting PVEM senator, and contenders including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, María Elizabeth López Blanco, and Pavel Jarero Velázquez remain closely matched in internal surveys released through July 2026, with leadership shifting across pollsters. Candidate meetings with national party leadership, registration timelines, and requests for leave from current posts have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner. This dispersion reflects the absence of a finalized nomination process or general-election campaigning, leaving room for upcoming internal votes, additional polling, or coalition negotiations to consolidate trader probabilities around one or two profiles before the 2027 ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHéctor Santana García 37%
Enrique Díaz López 35%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez 33%
Manuel Cota Jiménez 26%

Héctor Santana García
37%

Enrique Díaz López
35%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
33%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
26%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
25%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
25%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
24%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
24%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
22%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
30%

José Antonio Barajas López
24%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
9%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
8%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
7%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
7%

Ignacio Flores Medina
7%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
7%

Nadia Ramírez López
7%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
7%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
7%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
6%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
6%
Héctor Santana García 37%
Enrique Díaz López 35%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez 33%
Manuel Cota Jiménez 26%

Héctor Santana García
37%

Enrique Díaz López
35%

Pavel Jarero Velázquez
33%

Manuel Cota Jiménez
26%

María Elizabeth López Blanco
25%

Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
25%

José Ramón Cambero Pérez
24%

Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
24%

Geraldine Ponce Méndez
22%

Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
30%

José Antonio Barajas López
24%

Paola Vargas Arciniega
9%

Luis Zamora Carrillo
8%

Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
7%

Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
7%

Ignacio Flores Medina
7%

Gloria Núñez Sánchez
7%

Nadia Ramírez López
7%

Citlalli Rubí Huerta
7%

Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
7%

Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
6%

Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
6%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Открытие рынка: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The early-stage Nayarit 2027 gubernatorial race features a dominant Morena-PT-PVEM coalition in party preference polling around 50 percent, yet fragmented support among individual aspirants keeps individual outcome prices clustered in the 20-40 percent range. Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, a sitting PVEM senator, and contenders including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, María Elizabeth López Blanco, and Pavel Jarero Velázquez remain closely matched in internal surveys released through July 2026, with leadership shifting across pollsters. Candidate meetings with national party leadership, registration timelines, and requests for leave from current posts have not yet produced a decisive frontrunner. This dispersion reflects the absence of a finalized nomination process or general-election campaigning, leaving room for upcoming internal votes, additional polling, or coalition negotiations to consolidate trader probabilities around one or two profiles before the 2027 ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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