MLB traders' consensus favors "No" at 61.5% implied probability for a new Collective Bargaining Agreement by Dec. 1, reflecting the fresh start of formal negotiations between MLB and the MLBPA just two days ago on May 12. Initial sessions provided only high-level position overviews amid deep divides over owners' push for a salary cap-and-floor system, revenue sharing reductions, and competitive balance tax adjustments—issues that prolonged the 2021-22 lockout into a 99-day stoppage before the current CBA was finalized. With historical patterns of contentious bargaining dragging into early offseason disruptions and the MLBPA's amassed war chest signaling lockout preparations, the market anticipates no pre-deadline resolution despite the early talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB traders' consensus favors "No" at 61.5% implied probability for a new Collective Bargaining Agreement by Dec. 1, reflecting the fresh start of formal negotiations between MLB and the MLBPA just two days ago on May 12. Initial sessions provided only high-level position overviews amid deep divides over owners' push for a salary cap-and-floor system, revenue sharing reductions, and competitive balance tax adjustments—issues that prolonged the 2021-22 lockout into a 99-day stoppage before the current CBA was finalized. With historical patterns of contentious bargaining dragging into early offseason disruptions and the MLBPA's amassed war chest signaling lockout preparations, the market anticipates no pre-deadline resolution despite the early talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Объем
$6,183Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB traders' consensus favors "No" at 61.5% implied probability for a new Collective Bargaining Agreement by Dec. 1, reflecting the fresh start of formal negotiations between MLB and the MLBPA just two days ago on May 12. Initial sessions provided only high-level position overviews amid deep divides over owners' push for a salary cap-and-floor system, revenue sharing reductions, and competitive balance tax adjustments—issues that prolonged the 2021-22 lockout into a 99-day stoppage before the current CBA was finalized. With historical patterns of contentious bargaining dragging into early offseason disruptions and the MLBPA's amassed war chest signaling lockout preparations, the market anticipates no pre-deadline resolution despite the early talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$6,183Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...MLB traders' consensus favors "No" at 61.5% implied probability for a new Collective Bargaining Agreement by Dec. 1, reflecting the fresh start of formal negotiations between MLB and the MLBPA just two days ago on May 12. Initial sessions provided only high-level position overviews amid deep divides over owners' push for a salary cap-and-floor system, revenue sharing reductions, and competitive balance tax adjustments—issues that prolonged the 2021-22 lockout into a 99-day stoppage before the current CBA was finalized. With historical patterns of contentious bargaining dragging into early offseason disruptions and the MLBPA's amassed war chest signaling lockout preparations, the market anticipates no pre-deadline resolution despite the early talks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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