MLB and the MLB Players Association (MLBPA) convened their first official collective bargaining talks this week in New York, presenting opening positions six months before the current CBA expires on Dec. 1. Owners pushed for a salary cap and expanded revenue sharing—contentious issues historically fueling disputes—while players resist structural changes amid rising contracts and competitive balance concerns. With no further sessions immediately scheduled and serious negotiations weeks away, traders price a 63% implied probability on "No" new deal by deadline, reflecting the wisdom of crowds from past labor battles like the 99-day 2021-22 lockout that delayed spring training.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 дек. 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
1 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB and the MLB Players Association (MLBPA) convened their first official collective bargaining talks this week in New York, presenting opening positions six months before the current CBA expires on Dec. 1. Owners pushed for a salary cap and expanded revenue sharing—contentious issues historically fueling disputes—while players resist structural changes amid rising contracts and competitive balance concerns. With no further sessions immediately scheduled and serious negotiations weeks away, traders price a 63% implied probability on "No" new deal by deadline, reflecting the wisdom of crowds from past labor battles like the 99-day 2021-22 lockout that delayed spring training.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Объем
$6,183Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.MLB and the MLB Players Association (MLBPA) convened their first official collective bargaining talks this week in New York, presenting opening positions six months before the current CBA expires on Dec. 1. Owners pushed for a salary cap and expanded revenue sharing—contentious issues historically fueling disputes—while players resist structural changes amid rising contracts and competitive balance concerns. With no further sessions immediately scheduled and serious negotiations weeks away, traders price a 63% implied probability on "No" new deal by deadline, reflecting the wisdom of crowds from past labor battles like the 99-day 2021-22 lockout that delayed spring training.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MLB and MLBPA sign a a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA) by December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A new CBA will be considered ‘signed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the MLB and the MLB Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$6,183Дата окончания
1 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 20, 2026, 12:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...MLB and the MLB Players Association (MLBPA) convened their first official collective bargaining talks this week in New York, presenting opening positions six months before the current CBA expires on Dec. 1. Owners pushed for a salary cap and expanded revenue sharing—contentious issues historically fueling disputes—while players resist structural changes amid rising contracts and competitive balance concerns. With no further sessions immediately scheduled and serious negotiations weeks away, traders price a 63% implied probability on "No" new deal by deadline, reflecting the wisdom of crowds from past labor battles like the 99-day 2021-22 lockout that delayed spring training.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы