Lee Shu-chuan holds a clear lead in the New Taipei mayoral market after securing the joint KMT-TPP nomination through an April 2026 primary that sidelined Huang Kuo-chang, consolidating opposition support behind the former Taipei deputy mayor for the November 28 election. This unity against DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities, though recent polls show a competitive race with Su occasionally narrowing or reversing the margin. An independent candidate and scattered minor entries remain marginal factors. Traders appear to price in the structural advantage of the opposition coalition in this open-seat contest for Taiwan’s most populous city, while acknowledging polling volatility and campaign developments over the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛи Шу-чуань 76%
Су Чяо-хуэй 25%
Хуан Гоцзан <1%
$22,258 Объем
$22,258 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
Ли Шу-чуань
76%
Су Чяо-хуэй
25%
Хуан Гоцзан
<1%
Ли Шу-чуань 76%
Су Чяо-хуэй 25%
Хуан Гоцзан <1%
$22,258 Объем
$22,258 Объем
30 июн. 2027 г.
Ли Шу-чуань
$8,328 Объем
76%
Су Чяо-хуэй
$12,641 Объем
25%
Хуан Гоцзан
$1,288 Объем
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a clear lead in the New Taipei mayoral market after securing the joint KMT-TPP nomination through an April 2026 primary that sidelined Huang Kuo-chang, consolidating opposition support behind the former Taipei deputy mayor for the November 28 election. This unity against DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities, though recent polls show a competitive race with Su occasionally narrowing or reversing the margin. An independent candidate and scattered minor entries remain marginal factors. Traders appear to price in the structural advantage of the opposition coalition in this open-seat contest for Taiwan’s most populous city, while acknowledging polling volatility and campaign developments over the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
Объем
$22,258Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan holds a clear lead in the New Taipei mayoral market after securing the joint KMT-TPP nomination through an April 2026 primary that sidelined Huang Kuo-chang, consolidating opposition support behind the former Taipei deputy mayor for the November 28 election. This unity against DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities, though recent polls show a competitive race with Su occasionally narrowing or reversing the margin. An independent candidate and scattered minor entries remain marginal factors. Traders appear to price in the structural advantage of the opposition coalition in this open-seat contest for Taiwan’s most populous city, while acknowledging polling volatility and campaign developments over the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$22,258Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lee Shu-chuan holds a clear lead in the New Taipei mayoral market after securing the joint KMT-TPP nomination through an April 2026 primary that sidelined Huang Kuo-chang, consolidating opposition support behind the former Taipei deputy mayor for the November 28 election. This unity against DPP nominee Su Chiao-hui underpins the wide gap in implied probabilities, though recent polls show a competitive race with Su occasionally narrowing or reversing the margin. An independent candidate and scattered minor entries remain marginal factors. Traders appear to price in the structural advantage of the opposition coalition in this open-seat contest for Taiwan’s most populous city, while acknowledging polling volatility and campaign developments over the final weeks could still influence the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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