Virginia’s attempt at mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms was halted by the state Supreme Court’s May 8 ruling, which invalidated the April referendum-approved constitutional amendment on procedural grounds tied to the intervening-election requirement. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review, leaving the 2021 court-drawn maps in place. With primaries already held August 4 and the general election less than three months away, legislative or judicial avenues for a new map face insurmountable timing and constitutional barriers. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed rulings and calendar constraints. The only remaining low-probability paths involve extraordinary last-minute state or federal intervention, none of which have materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНовая карта Конгресса Вирджинии, использованная в промежуточных выборах?
Новая карта Конгресса Вирджинии, использованная в промежуточных выборах?
Да
4% вероятность
$69,601 Объем
$69,601 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
4% вероятность
$69,601 Объем
$69,601 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s attempt at mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms was halted by the state Supreme Court’s May 8 ruling, which invalidated the April referendum-approved constitutional amendment on procedural grounds tied to the intervening-election requirement. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review, leaving the 2021 court-drawn maps in place. With primaries already held August 4 and the general election less than three months away, legislative or judicial avenues for a new map face insurmountable timing and constitutional barriers. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed rulings and calendar constraints. The only remaining low-probability paths involve extraordinary last-minute state or federal intervention, none of which have materialized.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Объем
$69,601Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s attempt at mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms was halted by the state Supreme Court’s May 8 ruling, which invalidated the April referendum-approved constitutional amendment on procedural grounds tied to the intervening-election requirement. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review, leaving the 2021 court-drawn maps in place. With primaries already held August 4 and the general election less than three months away, legislative or judicial avenues for a new map face insurmountable timing and constitutional barriers. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed rulings and calendar constraints. The only remaining low-probability paths involve extraordinary last-minute state or federal intervention, none of which have materialized.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$69,601Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia’s attempt at mid-decade congressional redistricting for the 2026 midterms was halted by the state Supreme Court’s May 8 ruling, which invalidated the April referendum-approved constitutional amendment on procedural grounds tied to the intervening-election requirement. The U.S. Supreme Court declined further review, leaving the 2021 court-drawn maps in place. With primaries already held August 4 and the general election less than three months away, legislative or judicial avenues for a new map face insurmountable timing and constitutional barriers. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed rulings and calendar constraints. The only remaining low-probability paths involve extraordinary last-minute state or federal intervention, none of which have materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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