Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her reelection prospects near 93%. Her position stems from New York's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests, her established name recognition as incumbent, and recent Siena polling showing her ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by double digits among likely voters. Primaries concluded without major contests, clearing the path for both candidates ahead of the November 3 general election. Blakeman, endorsed by President Trump, has narrowed gaps in some earlier surveys but trails consistently. Shifts could arise from sustained economic pressures, turnout surges in key regions, late-campaign developments, or polling volatility typical in off-year cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Нью-Йорка
$94,564 Объем
$94,564 Объем

Демократ
94%

Республиканец
6%
$94,564 Объем
$94,564 Объем

Демократ
94%

Республиканец
6%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul holds a commanding lead in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing her reelection prospects near 93%. Her position stems from New York's longstanding Democratic tilt in statewide contests, her established name recognition as incumbent, and recent Siena polling showing her ahead of Republican nominee Bruce Blakeman by double digits among likely voters. Primaries concluded without major contests, clearing the path for both candidates ahead of the November 3 general election. Blakeman, endorsed by President Trump, has narrowed gaps in some earlier surveys but trails consistently. Shifts could arise from sustained economic pressures, turnout surges in key regions, late-campaign developments, or polling volatility typical in off-year cycles.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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