Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1-10) showing New Zealand First at 14%, National at 29%, and Labour at 36%, alongside Taxpayers' Union-Curia (May 3-7) with NZ First at 11.7%, position the populist party as the clear frontrunner for third in party vote under MMP, ahead of Greens (9-9.7%) and ACT (6.5-7%). NZ First's surge reflects Winston Peters' rising preferred prime minister ratings and coalition visibility amid National's slide to the mid-20s to 30% and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's April 21 leadership survival, while Greens have plummeted to 7-11% in recent surveys. Traders see NZ First's consistent 10-15% support securing third before the November 7 election, with ACT and others trailing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
New Zealand First Party 45%
Green Party 29%
National Party 7%
ACT New Zealand 6.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 нояб. 2026 г.
New Zealand First Party
56%
Green Party
27%
National Party
7%
ACT New Zealand
7%
Labour Party
1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
New Zealand First Party 45%
Green Party 29%
National Party 7%
ACT New Zealand 6.8%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 нояб. 2026 г.
New Zealand First Party
$235 Объем
56%
Green Party
$318 Объем
27%
National Party
$132 Объем
7%
ACT New Zealand
$273 Объем
7%
Labour Party
$367 Объем
1%
Te Pāti Māori
$232 Объем
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1-10) showing New Zealand First at 14%, National at 29%, and Labour at 36%, alongside Taxpayers' Union-Curia (May 3-7) with NZ First at 11.7%, position the populist party as the clear frontrunner for third in party vote under MMP, ahead of Greens (9-9.7%) and ACT (6.5-7%). NZ First's surge reflects Winston Peters' rising preferred prime minister ratings and coalition visibility amid National's slide to the mid-20s to 30% and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's April 21 leadership survival, while Greens have plummeted to 7-11% in recent surveys. Traders see NZ First's consistent 10-15% support securing third before the November 7 election, with ACT and others trailing.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Объем
$1,557Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1-10) showing New Zealand First at 14%, National at 29%, and Labour at 36%, alongside Taxpayers' Union-Curia (May 3-7) with NZ First at 11.7%, position the populist party as the clear frontrunner for third in party vote under MMP, ahead of Greens (9-9.7%) and ACT (6.5-7%). NZ First's surge reflects Winston Peters' rising preferred prime minister ratings and coalition visibility amid National's slide to the mid-20s to 30% and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's April 21 leadership survival, while Greens have plummeted to 7-11% in recent surveys. Traders see NZ First's consistent 10-15% support securing third before the November 7 election, with ACT and others trailing.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Объем
$1,557Дата окончания
7 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls, including Talbot Mills (May 1-10) showing New Zealand First at 14%, National at 29%, and Labour at 36%, alongside Taxpayers' Union-Curia (May 3-7) with NZ First at 11.7%, position the populist party as the clear frontrunner for third in party vote under MMP, ahead of Greens (9-9.7%) and ACT (6.5-7%). NZ First's surge reflects Winston Peters' rising preferred prime minister ratings and coalition visibility amid National's slide to the mid-20s to 30% and Prime Minister Christopher Luxon's April 21 leadership survival, while Greens have plummeted to 7-11% in recent surveys. Traders see NZ First's consistent 10-15% support securing third before the November 7 election, with ACT and others trailing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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