Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows Labour and National leading with roughly 29–30% each, followed by the Greens holding steady near 11–12%. New Zealand First has slipped in the latest 1News-Verian survey while the Opportunity Party surged to 8%, narrowing the gap for minor-party rankings. Traders view the Greens’ consistent support and NZ First’s volatility as the main drivers positioning the Greens ahead for third place, with ACT and smaller parties trailing further back in current aggregates. Scheduled debates and further polling before election day remain the key variables that could still shift these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
Green Party 54%
New Zealand First Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 4.5%
National Party 1.7%

Green Party
54%

New Zealand First Party
40%

ACT New Zealand
4%

National Party
2%

Te Pāti Māori
<1%

Labour Party
<1%
Green Party 54%
New Zealand First Party 40%
ACT New Zealand 4.5%
National Party 1.7%

Green Party
54%

New Zealand First Party
40%

ACT New Zealand
4%

National Party
2%

Te Pāti Māori
<1%

Labour Party
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Открытие рынка: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for New Zealand’s 7 November 2026 general election under the MMP system shows Labour and National leading with roughly 29–30% each, followed by the Greens holding steady near 11–12%. New Zealand First has slipped in the latest 1News-Verian survey while the Opportunity Party surged to 8%, narrowing the gap for minor-party rankings. Traders view the Greens’ consistent support and NZ First’s volatility as the main drivers positioning the Greens ahead for third place, with ACT and smaller parties trailing further back in current aggregates. Scheduled debates and further polling before election day remain the key variables that could still shift these implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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