Skip to main content
icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Политика·Выборы во Франции

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Политика·Выборы во Франции

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

НОВОЕ
30 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$2,952 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$209 Объем

11%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$226 Объем

80%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$60 Объем

5%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$1 Объем

45%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$9 Объем

5%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$164 Объем

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$50 Объем

4%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$126 Объем

4%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$0 Объем

22%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$200 Объем

8%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Объем

6%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Объем

21%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$314 Объем

43%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$10 Объем

6%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$50 Объем

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$50 Объем

6%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$54 Объем

7%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$74 Объем

4%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$208 Объем

4%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$73 Объем

4%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$0 Объем

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$57 Объем

3%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$57 Объем

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Объем

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$50 Объем

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$85 Объем

3%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$152 Объем

26%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$50 Объем

7%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$71 Объем

4%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$56 Объем

6%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$50 Объем

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$50 Объем

3%

icon for Other

Other

$92 Объем

35%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$38 Объем

4%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$121 Объем

3%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$81 Объем

4%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$6 Объем

4%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, positioning the far-right party to advance to the runoff regardless of the opponent. Recent surveys show him well ahead, with far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon gaining ground and frequently placing second amid left fragmentation and center-right splits involving figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Marine Le Pen’s eligibility hinges on her July 2026 appeal of the embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban that has already shifted momentum to Bardella as the likely National Rally nominee. The two-round system and potential for anti-RN coordination in a runoff remain key variables for traders assessing advancement probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$2,952
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads first-round polling for France’s April 2027 presidential election, positioning the far-right party to advance to the runoff regardless of the opponent. Recent surveys show him well ahead, with far-left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon gaining ground and frequently placing second amid left fragmentation and center-right splits involving figures such as Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal. Marine Le Pen’s eligibility hinges on her July 2026 appeal of the embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban that has already shifted momentum to Bardella as the likely National Rally nominee. The two-round system and potential for anti-RN coordination in a runoff remain key variables for traders assessing advancement probabilities.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$2,952
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 37 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Jordan Bardella» с 80%, за ним следует «Édouard Philippe» с 46%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 80¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jun 1, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?», просмотри 37 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — «Jordan Bardella» с 80%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 80%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Édouard Philippe» с 46%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.