The fragmented party landscape in Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election keeps probabilities closely balanced among leading contenders for Governing Mayor, with Elif Eralp (Left) at roughly 47-50%, Stefan Evers (CDU) around 32%, Werner Graf (Greens) near 12-15%, and lower shares for Steffen Krach (SPD) and Kristin Brinker (AfD). No party holds a clear path to a majority in the Abgeordnetenhaus, so outcomes hinge on post-election coalition negotiations rather than direct popular vote. Recent developments include Kai Wegner's decision not to seek re-nomination amid coalition strains and Franziska Giffey's absence from the SPD ticket, which have sustained uncertainty without shifting polling averages decisively. Traders price in the potential for multiple viable alliances, with late campaign momentum or turnout shifts among key blocs able to alter the balance before election night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNext Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
Elif Eralp 48%
Stefan Evers 32%
Werner Graf 12%
Steffen Krach 6.3%
$25,699 Объем
$25,699 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
Elif Eralp
48%
Stefan Evers
32%
Werner Graf
12%
Steffen Krach
6%
Kristin Brinker
5%
Elif Eralp 48%
Stefan Evers 32%
Werner Graf 12%
Steffen Krach 6.3%
$25,699 Объем
$25,699 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
Elif Eralp
$9,577 Объем
48%
Stefan Evers
$9,477 Объем
32%
Werner Graf
$4,636 Объем
12%
Steffen Krach
$745 Объем
6%
Kristin Brinker
$1,263 Объем
5%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The fragmented party landscape in Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election keeps probabilities closely balanced among leading contenders for Governing Mayor, with Elif Eralp (Left) at roughly 47-50%, Stefan Evers (CDU) around 32%, Werner Graf (Greens) near 12-15%, and lower shares for Steffen Krach (SPD) and Kristin Brinker (AfD). No party holds a clear path to a majority in the Abgeordnetenhaus, so outcomes hinge on post-election coalition negotiations rather than direct popular vote. Recent developments include Kai Wegner's decision not to seek re-nomination amid coalition strains and Franziska Giffey's absence from the SPD ticket, which have sustained uncertainty without shifting polling averages decisively. Traders price in the potential for multiple viable alliances, with late campaign momentum or turnout shifts among key blocs able to alter the balance before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET
Объем
$25,699Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The fragmented party landscape in Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election keeps probabilities closely balanced among leading contenders for Governing Mayor, with Elif Eralp (Left) at roughly 47-50%, Stefan Evers (CDU) around 32%, Werner Graf (Greens) near 12-15%, and lower shares for Steffen Krach (SPD) and Kristin Brinker (AfD). No party holds a clear path to a majority in the Abgeordnetenhaus, so outcomes hinge on post-election coalition negotiations rather than direct popular vote. Recent developments include Kai Wegner's decision not to seek re-nomination amid coalition strains and Franziska Giffey's absence from the SPD ticket, which have sustained uncertainty without shifting polling averages decisively. Traders price in the potential for multiple viable alliances, with late campaign momentum or turnout shifts among key blocs able to alter the balance before election night.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$25,699Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented party landscape in Berlin's September 20, 2026, state election keeps probabilities closely balanced among leading contenders for Governing Mayor, with Elif Eralp (Left) at roughly 47-50%, Stefan Evers (CDU) around 32%, Werner Graf (Greens) near 12-15%, and lower shares for Steffen Krach (SPD) and Kristin Brinker (AfD). No party holds a clear path to a majority in the Abgeordnetenhaus, so outcomes hinge on post-election coalition negotiations rather than direct popular vote. Recent developments include Kai Wegner's decision not to seek re-nomination amid coalition strains and Franziska Giffey's absence from the SPD ticket, which have sustained uncertainty without shifting polling averages decisively. Traders price in the potential for multiple viable alliances, with late campaign momentum or turnout shifts among key blocs able to alter the balance before election night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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