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Elections·Global Elections

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
Elections·Global Elections

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 61%

Christine Fréchette 23.2%

Charles Milliard 13%

Ruba Ghazal <1%

Polymarket

$55,737 Объем

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 61%

Christine Fréchette 23.2%

Charles Milliard 13%

Ruba Ghazal <1%

Polymarket

$55,737 Объем

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$9,857 Объем

61%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$7,733 Объем

23%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$5,023 Объем

13%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$3,342 Объем

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$5,086 Объем

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$7,501 Объем

<1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$17,196 Объем

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader pricing for Quebec's next premier ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting the Parti Québécois's sustained position atop recent opinion polls at around 30 percent, with particular strength among francophone voters. Recent leadership transitions have reshaped the contest: Christine Fréchette assumed the Coalition Avenir Québec helm and premiership in April 2026, producing modest polling gains that have narrowed the gap with the third-place party, while Charles Milliard took the Quebec Liberal leadership in February and has positioned his party as the main federalist alternative, keeping it within a few points of the PQ in multiple surveys. A public dispute in mid-June over Plamondon's remarks linking Liberals to organized crime prompted legal threats from Milliard, underscoring the campaign's sharpening tone. Other listed candidates trail far behind amid these dynamics.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$55,737
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader pricing for Quebec's next premier ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting the Parti Québécois's sustained position atop recent opinion polls at around 30 percent, with particular strength among francophone voters. Recent leadership transitions have reshaped the contest: Christine Fréchette assumed the Coalition Avenir Québec helm and premiership in April 2026, producing modest polling gains that have narrowed the gap with the third-place party, while Charles Milliard took the Quebec Liberal leadership in February and has positioned his party as the main federalist alternative, keeping it within a few points of the PQ in multiple surveys. A public dispute in mid-June over Plamondon's remarks linking Liberals to organized crime prompted legal threats from Milliard, underscoring the campaign's sharpening tone. Other listed candidates trail far behind amid these dynamics.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$55,737
Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next Premier of Quebec» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Paul St-Pierre Plamondon» с 61%, за ним следует «Christine Fréchette» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 61¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Premier of Quebec» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $55.7K с момента запуска рынка May 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Premier of Quebec», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Premier of Quebec» — «Paul St-Pierre Plamondon» с 61%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 61%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Christine Fréchette» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Premier of Quebec» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.