Jess Wilson leads the Victorian Liberal-National Coalition as Opposition Leader ahead of the November 28 state election, with recent DemosAU polling showing her party ahead on a 55-45 two-party preferred basis and her preferred premier rating at 43-34 against incumbent Ben Carroll. Labor’s July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Carroll has not reversed voter dissatisfaction tied to cost-of-living pressures, crime rates, and project delays, leaving the Coalition positioned for a likely change of government. Traders price Wilson highest because her party holds the clearest path to forming government under Australia’s preferential voting system, while Carroll and other Labor figures trail amid the Coalition’s sustained polling edge and Wilson’s policy releases on bail reform and public sector restraint.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжесс Уилсон 64%
Бен Кэрролл 20%
Уоррен Пикеринг 8%
Джасинта Аллан 4.3%
Джесс Уилсон
64%
Бен Кэрролл
20%
Уоррен Пикеринг
8%
Джасинта Аллан
4%
Брэд Баттин
4%
Джеймс Ньюбери
4%
Эмма Кили
4%
Соня Килкенни
4%
Стив Димопулос
4%
Дэвид Саутвик
3%
Габриэль Уильямс
3%
Дэнни О’Брайен
<1%
Эллен Санделл
<1%
Жаклин Саймс
<1%
Сэм Грот
<1%
Джесс Уилсон 64%
Бен Кэрролл 20%
Уоррен Пикеринг 8%
Джасинта Аллан 4.3%
Джесс Уилсон
64%
Бен Кэрролл
20%
Уоррен Пикеринг
8%
Джасинта Аллан
4%
Брэд Баттин
4%
Джеймс Ньюбери
4%
Эмма Кили
4%
Соня Килкенни
4%
Стив Димопулос
4%
Дэвид Саутвик
3%
Габриэль Уильямс
3%
Дэнни О’Брайен
<1%
Эллен Санделл
<1%
Жаклин Саймс
<1%
Сэм Грот
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.vic.gov.au/premierResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Victoria as a result of the specified elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn-in as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Victoria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.vic.gov.au/premierResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jess Wilson leads the Victorian Liberal-National Coalition as Opposition Leader ahead of the November 28 state election, with recent DemosAU polling showing her party ahead on a 55-45 two-party preferred basis and her preferred premier rating at 43-34 against incumbent Ben Carroll. Labor’s July leadership transition from Jacinta Allan to Carroll has not reversed voter dissatisfaction tied to cost-of-living pressures, crime rates, and project delays, leaving the Coalition positioned for a likely change of government. Traders price Wilson highest because her party holds the clearest path to forming government under Australia’s preferential voting system, while Carroll and other Labor figures trail amid the Coalition’s sustained polling edge and Wilson’s policy releases on bail reform and public sector restraint.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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