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Политика·Румыния

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Политика·Румыния

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Александру Назаре 47.0%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

Раду Бурнете 6.2%

Ilie Bolojan 4.8%

Polymarket

$3,335,113 Объем

Александру Назаре 47.0%

Sorin Grindeanu 22.9%

Раду Бурнете 6.2%

Ilie Bolojan 4.8%

Polymarket

$3,335,113 Объем

icon for Александру Назаре

Александру Назаре

$224,846 Объем

47%

icon for Sorin Grindeanu

Sorin Grindeanu

$440,041 Объем

23%

icon for Раду Бурнете

Раду Бурнете

$99,271 Объем

6%

icon for Ilie Bolojan

Ilie Bolojan

$168,158 Объем

5%

icon for Зигфрид Мурешан

Зигфрид Мурешан

$11,109 Объем

2%

icon for Lucian Croitoru

Lucian Croitoru

$47,773 Объем

2%

icon for Эуджен Томак

Эуджен Томак

$260,843 Объем

2%

icon for Delia Velculescu

Delia Velculescu

$106,012 Объем

1%

icon for George Simion

George Simion

$60,426 Объем

1%

icon for Траян Бэсеску

Траян Бэсеску

$60,634 Объем

1%

icon for Ionuț Dumitru

Ionuț Dumitru

$70,840 Объем

1%

icon for Cătălin Predoiu

Cătălin Predoiu

$152,553 Объем

1%

icon for Дан Мотреану

Дан Мотреану

$76,673 Объем

1%

icon for Чиприан Чиуку

Чиприан Чиуку

$46,381 Объем

1%

icon for Драгош Пысляру

Драгош Пысляру

$73,212 Объем

1%

icon for Шербан Мате

Шербан Мате

$76,195 Объем

1%

icon for Хунор Келемен

Хунор Келемен

$83,766 Объем

1%

icon for Кэлин Георгеску

Кэлин Георгеску

$61,633 Объем

1%

icon for Виктор Понта

Виктор Понта

$58,824 Объем

1%

icon for Адриан Вештеа

Адриан Вештеа

$205,064 Объем

1%

icon for Anca Dragu

Anca Dragu

$68,435 Объем

<1%

icon for Raluca Turcan

Raluca Turcan

$46,483 Объем

<1%

icon for Vasile Dîncu

Vasile Dîncu

$56,429 Объем

<1%

icon for Alexandru Rafila

Alexandru Rafila

$54,148 Объем

<1%

icon for Cătălin Drulă

Cătălin Drulă

$54,291 Объем

<1%

icon for Lucian Isar

Lucian Isar

$59,344 Объем

<1%

icon for Александру Рогобете

Александру Рогобете

$51,775 Объем

<1%

icon for Mugur Isărescu

Mugur Isărescu

$48,880 Объем

<1%

icon for Mircea Geoană

Mircea Geoană

$55,303 Объем

<1%

icon for Sebastian Burduja

Sebastian Burduja

$68,831 Объем

<1%

icon for Elena Lasconi

Elena Lasconi

$84,883 Объем

<1%

icon for Dacian Cioloș

Dacian Cioloș

$65,272 Объем

<1%

icon for Emil Boc

Emil Boc

$59,381 Объем

<1%

icon for Dominic Fritz

Dominic Fritz

$54,793 Объем

<1%

icon for Nicolae Ciucă

Nicolae Ciucă

$60,746 Объем

<1%

icon for Marcel Ciolacu

Marcel Ciolacu

$61,865 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's minority coalition, continues to shape trader consensus around the next premiership. Alexandru Nazare, serving as Finance Minister, leads with implied backing from PNL, USR, and UDMR circles for a potential minority government, reflecting his fiscal expertise amid stalled coalition talks and presidential consultations. Sorin Grindeanu follows as a key PSD contender, tied to the party's parliamentary strength and role in the earlier government collapse. Failed nominations, such as Adrian Veștea in June, and persistent deadlock with early elections still possible have reinforced uncertainty, favoring figures positioned for cross-party or institutional support while limiting lower-probability candidates.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,335,113
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's ongoing political crisis, triggered by the May 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's minority coalition, continues to shape trader consensus around the next premiership. Alexandru Nazare, serving as Finance Minister, leads with implied backing from PNL, USR, and UDMR circles for a potential minority government, reflecting his fiscal expertise amid stalled coalition talks and presidential consultations. Sorin Grindeanu follows as a key PSD contender, tied to the party's parliamentary strength and role in the earlier government collapse. Failed nominations, such as Adrian Veștea in June, and persistent deadlock with early elections still possible have reinforced uncertainty, favoring figures positioned for cross-party or institutional support while limiting lower-probability candidates.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$3,335,113
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Связанные

icon for Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?

49%
icon for Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

35%
icon for Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?

Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government?

52%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next Prime Minister of Romania?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 36 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Александру Назаре» с 47%, за ним следует «Sorin Grindeanu» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 47¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Prime Minister of Romania?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $3.3 million с момента запуска рынка May 5, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Prime Minister of Romania?», просмотри 36 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Romania?» — «Александру Назаре» с 47%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Sorin Grindeanu» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Prime Minister of Romania?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.