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Политика·Испания

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Политика·Испания

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%

Pedro Sánchez 13.0%

Santiago Abascal 5.3%

Исабель Диас Аюсо 3.0%

Polymarket

$131,633 Объем

Alberto Núñez Feijóo 79%

Pedro Sánchez 13.0%

Santiago Abascal 5.3%

Исабель Диас Аюсо 3.0%

Polymarket

$131,633 Объем

icon for Alberto Núñez Feijóo

Alberto Núñez Feijóo

$29,417 Объем

79%

icon for Pedro Sánchez

Pedro Sánchez

$21,367 Объем

13%

icon for Santiago Abascal

Santiago Abascal

$14,193 Объем

5%

icon for Исабель Диас Аюсо

Исабель Диас Аюсо

$7,769 Объем

3%

icon for Карлос Куэрпо

Карлос Куэрпо

$3,835 Объем

<1%

icon for Оскар Пуэнте

Оскар Пуэнте

$3,480 Объем

<1%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$5,104 Объем

<1%

icon for Yolanda Díaz

Yolanda Díaz

$4,592 Объем

<1%

icon for Ernest Urtasun

Ernest Urtasun

$4,573 Объем

<1%

icon for Aitor Esteban

Aitor Esteban

$4,968 Объем

<1%

icon for Miguel Tellado

Miguel Tellado

$5,570 Объем

<1%

icon for Ester Muñoz

Ester Muñoz

$5,653 Объем

<1%

icon for Pepa Millán

Pepa Millán

$4,573 Объем

<1%

icon for Cuca Gamarra

Cuca Gamarra

$5,170 Объем

<1%

icon for Borja Sémper

Borja Sémper

$4,427 Объем

<1%

icon for Carles Puigdemont

Carles Puigdemont

$6,942 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 78.5% as leader of the opposition People's Party amid a fragile PSOE minority government facing coalition erosion, multiple corruption probes, and the Ceuta migrant crisis. Recent developments include the September 2026 decision to try Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s wife on influence-peddling charges and ongoing fallout from party scandals, which have further damaged Sánchez’s standing ahead of the 2027 election deadline. Polling trends show the PP competitive or ahead, often requiring Vox support for a majority, while Sánchez’s implied probability sits at 13%. Traders view these pressures as tilting the parliamentary arithmetic toward a center-right transition, though the timing of any snap vote or coalition realignment remains uncertain.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$131,633
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads the market at 78.5% as leader of the opposition People's Party amid a fragile PSOE minority government facing coalition erosion, multiple corruption probes, and the Ceuta migrant crisis. Recent developments include the September 2026 decision to try Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez’s wife on influence-peddling charges and ongoing fallout from party scandals, which have further damaged Sánchez’s standing ahead of the 2027 election deadline. Polling trends show the PP competitive or ahead, often requiring Vox support for a majority, while Sánchez’s implied probability sits at 13%. Traders view these pressures as tilting the parliamentary arithmetic toward a center-right transition, though the timing of any snap vote or coalition realignment remains uncertain.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Spain by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must receive a vote of confidence from the Congress of Deputies and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$131,633
Дата окончания
1 апр. 2028 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 26, 2026, 1:09 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next Prime Minister of Spain?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Alberto Núñez Feijóo» с 79%, за ним следует «Pedro Sánchez» с 13%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 79¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 79%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next Prime Minister of Spain?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $131.6K с момента запуска рынка Jun 26, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Next Prime Minister of Spain?», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Spain?» — «Alberto Núñez Feijóo» с 79%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 79%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Pedro Sánchez» с 13%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Next Prime Minister of Spain?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.