Recent polling from Demoskop shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, led by Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson, ahead at 50.6% versus 46.9% for Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s governing alliance of Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats support, narrowing slightly from earlier summer surveys. With the September 13 parliamentary election one month away, these figures position Andersson as the frontrunner to form the next government, consistent with the market’s 83.5% implied probability. Kristersson’s bloc trails despite holding office since 2022, while smaller-party leaders such as Jimmie Åkesson register minimal shares given coalition dynamics and historical patterns of the largest bloc’s leader assuming the premiership. Traders price the contest as competitive but tilted toward the opposition ahead of final results and subsequent Riksdag negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующий премьер-министр Швеции
Следующий премьер-министр Швеции
Магдалена Андерссон 84%
Ульф Кристерссон 16%
Джимми Окесон <1%
Эбба Буш <1%
$3,564,761 Объем
$3,564,761 Объем
Магдалена Андерссон
84%
Ульф Кристерссон
16%
Джимми Окесон
1%
Эбба Буш
<1%
Ноши Дадгостар
<1%
Анна-Карин Хатт
<1%
Аманда Линд
<1%
Симона Мохамссон
<1%
Даниэль Хелльден
<1%
Элизабет Танд Рингквист
<1%
Магдалена Андерссон 84%
Ульф Кристерссон 16%
Джимми Окесон <1%
Эбба Буш <1%
$3,564,761 Объем
$3,564,761 Объем
Магдалена Андерссон
84%
Ульф Кристерссон
16%
Джимми Окесон
1%
Эбба Буш
<1%
Ноши Дадгостар
<1%
Анна-Карин Хатт
<1%
Аманда Линд
<1%
Симона Мохамссон
<1%
Даниэль Хелльден
<1%
Элизабет Танд Рингквист
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Demoskop shows Sweden’s centre-left opposition bloc, led by Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson, ahead at 50.6% versus 46.9% for Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson’s governing alliance of Moderates, Christian Democrats, Liberals, and Sweden Democrats support, narrowing slightly from earlier summer surveys. With the September 13 parliamentary election one month away, these figures position Andersson as the frontrunner to form the next government, consistent with the market’s 83.5% implied probability. Kristersson’s bloc trails despite holding office since 2022, while smaller-party leaders such as Jimmie Åkesson register minimal shares given coalition dynamics and historical patterns of the largest bloc’s leader assuming the premiership. Traders price the contest as competitive but tilted toward the opposition ahead of final results and subsequent Riksdag negotiations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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