Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition in New Jersey's 6th District. The seat's partisan composition, with Democrats holding a plurality of registered voters and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus around a strong general-election position for the Democratic nominee against Republican Hillary Herzig. Fundraising disparities and the absence of major scandals or national tailwinds favoring Republicans have kept the race noncompetitive to date. Late developments such as an unforeseen health issue for the incumbent, a significant ethical controversy, or an unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNJ-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NJ-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$28,032 Объем
$28,032 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
6%
$28,032 Объем
$28,032 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$8,882 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$19,150 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition in New Jersey's 6th District. The seat's partisan composition, with Democrats holding a plurality of registered voters and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus around a strong general-election position for the Democratic nominee against Republican Hillary Herzig. Fundraising disparities and the absence of major scandals or national tailwinds favoring Republicans have kept the race noncompetitive to date. Late developments such as an unforeseen health issue for the incumbent, a significant ethical controversy, or an unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$28,032Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition in New Jersey's 6th District. The seat's partisan composition, with Democrats holding a plurality of registered voters and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus around a strong general-election position for the Democratic nominee against Republican Hillary Herzig. Fundraising disparities and the absence of major scandals or national tailwinds favoring Republicans have kept the race noncompetitive to date. Late developments such as an unforeseen health issue for the incumbent, a significant ethical controversy, or an unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$28,032Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Frank Pallone secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, facing only limited intra-party opposition in New Jersey's 6th District. The seat's partisan composition, with Democrats holding a plurality of registered voters and consistent historical margins, underpins trader consensus around a strong general-election position for the Democratic nominee against Republican Hillary Herzig. Fundraising disparities and the absence of major scandals or national tailwinds favoring Republicans have kept the race noncompetitive to date. Late developments such as an unforeseen health issue for the incumbent, a significant ethical controversy, or an unusually strong Republican turnout wave could still alter the outcome before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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