LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's heavy Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by wide margins across Essex, Union, and Hudson counties. As the incumbent who won the 2024 special election and subsequent general election by large margins, McIver secured easy renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary. Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. McIver's ongoing federal assault charges stemming from a 2025 incident have not disrupted her primary support or local backing. Late developments such as adverse court rulings on those charges or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNJ-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NJ-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$50,537 Объем
$50,537 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
ЛаМоника МакАйвер (Д)
95%
Кармен Букко (Р)
4%
$50,537 Объем
$50,537 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
ЛаМоника МакАйвер (Д)
$14,025 Объем
95%
Кармен Букко (Р)
$36,511 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's heavy Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by wide margins across Essex, Union, and Hudson counties. As the incumbent who won the 2024 special election and subsequent general election by large margins, McIver secured easy renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary. Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. McIver's ongoing federal assault charges stemming from a 2025 incident have not disrupted her primary support or local backing. Late developments such as adverse court rulings on those charges or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$50,537Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's heavy Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by wide margins across Essex, Union, and Hudson counties. As the incumbent who won the 2024 special election and subsequent general election by large margins, McIver secured easy renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary. Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. McIver's ongoing federal assault charges stemming from a 2025 incident have not disrupted her primary support or local backing. Late developments such as adverse court rulings on those charges or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$50,537Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...LaMonica McIver holds a commanding position in the NJ-10 race due to the district's heavy Democratic tilt, with voter registration favoring Democrats by wide margins across Essex, Union, and Hudson counties. As the incumbent who won the 2024 special election and subsequent general election by large margins, McIver secured easy renomination in the June 2026 Democratic primary. Carmen Bucco advanced unopposed in the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in this solidly Democratic seat. McIver's ongoing federal assault charges stemming from a 2025 incident have not disrupted her primary support or local backing. Late developments such as adverse court rulings on those charges or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in the district limit the scope for an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы