LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election due to the district’s entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent voter registration edges and historical margins exceeding 50 points. As incumbent, she secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with 85 percent of the vote against a low-profile challenger, underscoring unified party support. Her Republican opponent, Carmen Bucco, advanced unopposed after prior losses in the same seat by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, with no recent polling shifts or major campaign events altering the trajectory ahead of the November 3 vote. The ongoing federal charges against McIver have not disrupted her position in this heavily Democratic area. A late-breaking development such as a successful appeal or significant turnout anomaly would be required to narrow the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNJ-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NJ-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$50,537 Объем
$50,537 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
ЛаМоника МакАйвер (Д)
95%
Кармен Букко (Р)
4%
$50,537 Объем
$50,537 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
ЛаМоника МакАйвер (Д)
$14,025 Объем
95%
Кармен Букко (Р)
$36,511 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election due to the district’s entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent voter registration edges and historical margins exceeding 50 points. As incumbent, she secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with 85 percent of the vote against a low-profile challenger, underscoring unified party support. Her Republican opponent, Carmen Bucco, advanced unopposed after prior losses in the same seat by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, with no recent polling shifts or major campaign events altering the trajectory ahead of the November 3 vote. The ongoing federal charges against McIver have not disrupted her position in this heavily Democratic area. A late-breaking development such as a successful appeal or significant turnout anomaly would be required to narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$50,537Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election due to the district’s entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent voter registration edges and historical margins exceeding 50 points. As incumbent, she secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with 85 percent of the vote against a low-profile challenger, underscoring unified party support. Her Republican opponent, Carmen Bucco, advanced unopposed after prior losses in the same seat by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, with no recent polling shifts or major campaign events altering the trajectory ahead of the November 3 vote. The ongoing federal charges against McIver have not disrupted her position in this heavily Democratic area. A late-breaking development such as a successful appeal or significant turnout anomaly would be required to narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$50,537Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...LaMonica McIver holds a commanding lead in the NJ-10 general election due to the district’s entrenched Democratic advantage, reflected in consistent voter registration edges and historical margins exceeding 50 points. As incumbent, she secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with 85 percent of the vote against a low-profile challenger, underscoring unified party support. Her Republican opponent, Carmen Bucco, advanced unopposed after prior losses in the same seat by wide margins. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Democratic, with no recent polling shifts or major campaign events altering the trajectory ahead of the November 3 vote. The ongoing federal charges against McIver have not disrupted her position in this heavily Democratic area. A late-breaking development such as a successful appeal or significant turnout anomaly would be required to narrow the gap.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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